Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 05/03/2024 1656Z
Data ending: 05/03/2024 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: CWCC1 (Cow Ck - Millville, Nr)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    3.9  Mean:    6.5  WY-to-date: Obs:    3.9 Mean:    6.5
2023       % of mean:    60% 

November   Obs:    6.7  Mean:   21.8  WY-to-date: Obs:   10.6 Mean:   28.3
2023       % of mean:    31% 

December   Obs:   25.8  Mean:   70.7  WY-to-date: Obs:   36.4 Mean:   99.0
2023       % of mean:    37% 

January    Obs:  103.3  Mean:   89.3  WY-to-date: Obs:  139.7 Mean:  188.3
2024       % of mean:    116% 

February   Obs:  109.7  Mean:   86.0  WY-to-date: Obs:  249.4 Mean:  276.6
2024       % of mean:    128% 

March      Obs:  129.8  Mean:   88.9  WY-to-date: Obs:  379.2 Mean:  365.5
2024       % of mean:    146% 

April      Obs:   56.0  Mean:   48.0  WY-to-date: Obs:  435.2 Mean:  413.5
2024       % of mean:    117% 

May        Obs (thru 03@12Z):    3.3    Mean:   31.8  WY-to-date: Obs:  438.5 Mean:  415.3
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    26    28    31    40    51
           Obs + Fcst:       30    31    34    43    55
           % of mean:                   108% 

June       Mean:   12.9
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         12    13    15    18    23
           % of mean:                   115% 

July       Mean:    3.8
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          3     4     4     6     8
           % of mean:                   115% 

August     Mean:    2.1
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          2     2     2     2     2
           % of mean:                    83% 

September  Mean:    2.5
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          2     2     2     2     3
           % of mean:                    72% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:  438.5    Mean:  464.2
WY2024     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    46    49    57    67    84
           Obs + Fcst:      484   488   495   506   522
           % of mean:                   107%