National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 05/08/2025 1748Z
Data ending: 05/08/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: CWCC1 (Cow Ck - Millville, Nr)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    3.3  Mean:    6.4  WY-to-date: Obs:    3.3 Mean:    6.4
2024       % of mean:    51% 

November   Obs:  102.7  Mean:   21.4  WY-to-date: Obs:  106.0 Mean:   27.8
2024       % of mean:    479% 

December   Obs:  155.7  Mean:   70.8  WY-to-date: Obs:  261.7 Mean:   98.6
2024       % of mean:    220% 

January    Obs:   56.2  Mean:   90.7  WY-to-date: Obs:  317.9 Mean:  189.3
2025       % of mean:    62% 

February   Obs:  249.0  Mean:   84.8  WY-to-date: Obs:  566.9 Mean:  273.6
2025       % of mean:    294% 

March      Obs:   87.5  Mean:   91.9  WY-to-date: Obs:  654.4 Mean:  365.5
2025       % of mean:    95% 

April      Obs:   56.6  Mean:   48.1  WY-to-date: Obs:  711.0 Mean:  413.6
2025       % of mean:    118% 

May        Obs (thru 08@12Z):    6.5    Mean:   32.2  WY-to-date: Obs:  717.6 Mean:  423.6
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    16    17    18    20    26
           Obs + Fcst:       22    23    25    27    32
           % of mean:                    77% 

June       Mean:   13.0
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         10    10    12    14    23
           % of mean:                    90% 

July       Mean:    3.8
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          3     4     4     5     7
           % of mean:                   107% 

August     Mean:    2.1
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          2     2     2     2     2
           % of mean:                    84% 

September  Mean:    2.5
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          2     2     2     2     3
           % of mean:                    73% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:  717.6    Mean:  467.7
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    34    36    38    43    60
           Obs + Fcst:      751   754   756   761   777
           % of mean:                   162%