National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 05/13/2025 1646Z
Data ending: 05/13/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: DCVC1 (Deer Ck - Vina, Nr)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    6.0  Mean:    6.7  WY-to-date: Obs:    6.0 Mean:    6.7
2024       % of mean:    89% 

November   Obs:   30.6  Mean:   10.5  WY-to-date: Obs:   36.6 Mean:   17.1
2024       % of mean:    293% 

December   Obs:   38.6  Mean:   23.9  WY-to-date: Obs:   75.2 Mean:   41.0
2024       % of mean:    161% 

January    Obs:   25.6  Mean:   33.1  WY-to-date: Obs:  100.8 Mean:   74.1
2025       % of mean:    77% 

February   Obs:   91.9  Mean:   35.8  WY-to-date: Obs:  192.7 Mean:  109.6
2025       % of mean:    257% 

March      Obs:   43.4  Mean:   41.4  WY-to-date: Obs:  236.1 Mean:  151.0
2025       % of mean:    105% 

April      Obs:   32.5  Mean:   30.0  WY-to-date: Obs:  268.6 Mean:  181.0
2025       % of mean:    108% 

May        Obs (thru 13@12Z):    7.1    Mean:   22.1  WY-to-date: Obs:  275.7 Mean:  191.8
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     9    10    11    12    14
           Obs + Fcst:       16    17    18    19    21
           % of mean:                    80% 

June       Mean:   11.5
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          8     9     9     9    13
           % of mean:                    76% 

July       Mean:    7.3
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          6     6     6     7     7
           % of mean:                    88% 

August     Mean:    6.0
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          5     5     5     6     6
           % of mean:                    89% 

September  Mean:    5.6
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          5     5     5     5     5
           % of mean:                    83% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:  275.7    Mean:  234.0
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    34    34    36    39    43
           Obs + Fcst:      309   310   311   315   319
           % of mean:                   133%