National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 03/28/2024 2138Z
Data ending: 03/28/2024 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: DLTC1 (Sacramento - Delta)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:   13.6  Mean:   18.3  WY-to-date: Obs:   13.6 Mean:   18.3
2023       % of mean:    74% 

November   Obs:   15.8  Mean:   33.5  WY-to-date: Obs:   29.4 Mean:   51.8
2023       % of mean:    47% 

December   Obs:   52.0  Mean:   79.5  WY-to-date: Obs:   81.4 Mean:  131.3
2023       % of mean:    65% 

January    Obs:  176.3  Mean:  107.5  WY-to-date: Obs:  257.7 Mean:  238.9
2024       % of mean:    164% 

February   Obs:  283.0  Mean:  128.0  WY-to-date: Obs:  540.7 Mean:  370.6
2024       % of mean:    221% 

March      Obs (thru 28@12Z):  131.0    Mean:  151.5  WY-to-date: Obs:  671.7 Mean:  506.9
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    15    16    19    21    22
           Obs + Fcst:      146   147   150   152   153
           % of mean:                    99% 

April      Mean:  116.1
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         85    97   110   122   147
           % of mean:                    95% 

May        Mean:   98.2
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:        113   116   129   158   198
           % of mean:                   131% 

June       Mean:   50.5
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         45    49    58    70    99
           % of mean:                   114% 

July       Mean:   22.1
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         21    21    24    27    32
           % of mean:                   108% 

August     Mean:   15.0
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         16    16    17    18    20
           % of mean:                   113% 

September  Mean:   13.3
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         14    14    15    16    17
           % of mean:                   112% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:  671.7    Mean:  833.5
WY2024     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:   332   339   371   445   480
           Obs + Fcst:     1004  1011  1042  1117  1151
           % of mean:                   125%