National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 05/11/2025 1619Z
Data ending: 05/11/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: EDCC1 (Elder Ck - Paskenta, Nr)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    0.2  Mean:    0.4  WY-to-date: Obs:    0.2 Mean:    0.4
2024       % of mean:    58% 

November   Obs:    9.0  Mean:    1.8  WY-to-date: Obs:    9.2 Mean:    2.2
2024       % of mean:    506% 

December   Obs:   20.1  Mean:    8.1  WY-to-date: Obs:   29.3 Mean:   10.3
2024       % of mean:    248% 

January    Obs:    8.4  Mean:   13.1  WY-to-date: Obs:   37.7 Mean:   23.4
2025       % of mean:    64% 

February   Obs:   26.7  Mean:   14.9  WY-to-date: Obs:   64.4 Mean:   38.1
2025       % of mean:    180% 

March      Obs:   11.2  Mean:   14.8  WY-to-date: Obs:   75.6 Mean:   52.9
2025       % of mean:    75% 

April      Obs:    7.8  Mean:    8.4  WY-to-date: Obs:   83.4 Mean:   61.4
2025       % of mean:    93% 

May        Obs (thru 11@12Z):    1.5    Mean:    5.4  WY-to-date: Obs:   84.9 Mean:   63.8
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     1     1     1     1     1
           Obs + Fcst:        3     3     3     3     3
           % of mean:                    47% 

June       Mean:    2.0
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          1     1     1     1     1
           % of mean:                    37% 

July       Mean:    0.5
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          0     0     0     0     0
           % of mean:                    48% 

August     Mean:    0.2
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          0     0     0     0     0
           % of mean:                    99% 

September  Mean:    0.2
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          0     0     0     0     0
           % of mean:                    84% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:   84.9    Mean:   69.7
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     2     2     2     2     3
           Obs + Fcst:       87    87    87    87    88
           % of mean:                   125%