Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 02/27/2013 2039Z
Data ending: 02/12/2013 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: EPRC1 (LITTLE STONY CK - EAST PARK RES)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:   -0.4  Avg:    0.8
2012       % of average: -51% 

November   Obs:    2.5  Avg:    2.9
2012       % of average: 86% 

December   Obs:   26.6  Avg:   10.8
2012       % of average: 246% 

January    Obs:    5.4  Avg:   16.5
2013       % of average: 33% 

February   Obs (through 12@12Z):    2.7    Avg:   16.1
2013       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     1     1     1     3     5
           Obs + Fcst:        4     4     4     5     8
           % of average:                 23% 

March      Avg:   14.2
2013       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          1     2     4     7    16
           % of average:                 30% 

April      Avg:    7.9
2013       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          1     1     1     3     6
           % of average:                 19% 

May        Avg:    4.2
2013       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          0     1     1     1     2
           % of average:                 18% 

June       Avg:    2.0
2013       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          0     0     0     1     1
           % of average:                 18% 

July       Avg:    1.3
2013       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          0     0     0     0     0
           % of average:                 14% 

August     Avg:    1.1
2013       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          0     0     0     0     0
           % of average:                  8% 

September  Avg:    0.8
2013       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          0     0     0     0     0
           % of average:                  5% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:   36.8    Avg:   78.7
WY2013     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     4     5    11    18    25
           Obs + Fcst:       41    42    47    55    62
           % of average:                 60%