Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 04/30/2021 1630Z
Data ending: 04/30/2021 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: FOLC1 (American - Folsom Reservoir)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    8.5  Mean:   23.5  WY-to-date: Obs:    8.5 Mean:   35.1
2020       % of mean:    36% 

November   Obs:   22.2  Mean:   92.3  WY-to-date: Obs:   30.8 Mean:  142.0
2020       % of mean:    24% 

December   Obs:   27.6  Mean:  215.6  WY-to-date: Obs:   58.4 Mean:  381.7
2020       % of mean:    13% 

January    Obs:   58.0  Mean:  310.4  WY-to-date: Obs:  116.4 Mean:  726.4
2021       % of mean:    19% 

February   Obs:  105.8  Mean:  366.3  WY-to-date: Obs:  222.2 Mean: 1059.3
2021       % of mean:    29% 

March      Obs:  121.3  Mean:  452.3  WY-to-date: Obs:  343.5 Mean: 1466.6
2021       % of mean:    27% 

April      Obs:  199.2    Mean:  435.9  WY-to-date: Obs:  542.7 Mean 1902.7
2021       % of mean:    46% 

May        Mean:  477.3
2021       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:        171   183   199   226   272
           % of mean:                    42% 

June       Mean:  250.6
2021       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         40    42    53    64   115
           % of mean:                    21% 

July       Mean:   67.9
2021       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          1     2     3     5    12
           % of mean:                     4% 

August     Mean:   16.5
2021       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          0     0     0     0     2
           % of mean:                     0% 

September  Mean:   13.2
2021       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          1     1     2     5     9
           % of mean:                    13% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:  542.7    Mean: 2721.7
WY2021     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:   231   249   275   323   433
           Obs + Fcst:      773   792   817   865   975
           % of mean:                    30%