Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 05/05/2025 1608Z
Data ending: 05/05/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: FTJC1 (Scott - Fort Jones, Nr)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    2.7  Mean:    4.0  WY-to-date: Obs:    2.7 Mean:    4.0
2024       % of mean:    67% 

November   Obs:   20.7  Mean:   13.8  WY-to-date: Obs:   23.4 Mean:   17.7
2024       % of mean:    151% 

December   Obs:   76.0  Mean:   39.7  WY-to-date: Obs:   99.4 Mean:   57.4
2024       % of mean:    192% 

January    Obs:   97.9  Mean:   52.7  WY-to-date: Obs:  197.3 Mean:  110.0
2025       % of mean:    186% 

February   Obs:  108.3  Mean:   57.2  WY-to-date: Obs:  305.6 Mean:  166.8
2025       % of mean:    189% 

March      Obs:   96.9  Mean:   63.1  WY-to-date: Obs:  402.5 Mean:  229.8
2025       % of mean:    154% 

April      Obs:  105.9  Mean:   57.3  WY-to-date: Obs:  508.4 Mean:  287.2
2025       % of mean:    185% 

May        Obs (thru 05@12Z):   16.6    Mean:   62.3  WY-to-date: Obs:  525.0 Mean:  297.8
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    66    67    71    75    85
           Obs + Fcst:       83    84    88    92   102
           % of mean:                   141% 

June       Mean:   35.1
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         10    12    15    22    35
           % of mean:                    43% 

July       Mean:    8.8
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          5     5     5     7     8
           % of mean:                    62% 

August     Mean:    2.2
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          2     2     2     3     3
           % of mean:                    87% 

September  Mean:    1.8
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          2     2     2     3     3
           % of mean:                   113% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:  525.0    Mean:  397.9
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    87    91    98   109   123
           Obs + Fcst:      612   616   623   634   648
           % of mean:                   157%