National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 07/08/2025 1737Z
Data ending: 07/08/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: FTJC1 (Scott - Fort Jones, Nr)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    2.7  Mean:    4.0  WY-to-date: Obs:    2.7 Mean:    4.0
2024       % of mean:    67% 

November   Obs:   20.7  Mean:   13.8  WY-to-date: Obs:   23.4 Mean:   17.7
2024       % of mean:    151% 

December   Obs:   76.0  Mean:   39.7  WY-to-date: Obs:   99.4 Mean:   57.4
2024       % of mean:    192% 

January    Obs:   97.9  Mean:   52.7  WY-to-date: Obs:  197.3 Mean:  110.0
2025       % of mean:    186% 

February   Obs:  108.3  Mean:   57.2  WY-to-date: Obs:  305.6 Mean:  166.8
2025       % of mean:    189% 

March      Obs:   96.9  Mean:   63.1  WY-to-date: Obs:  402.5 Mean:  229.8
2025       % of mean:    154% 

April      Obs:  105.9  Mean:   57.3  WY-to-date: Obs:  508.4 Mean:  287.2
2025       % of mean:    185% 

May        Obs:   85.8  Mean:   62.3  WY-to-date: Obs:  594.1 Mean:  349.5
2025       % of mean:    138% 

June       Obs:   36.5  Mean:   35.1  WY-to-date: Obs:  630.7 Mean:  384.6
2025       % of mean:    104% 

July       Obs (thru 08@12Z):    3.3    Mean:    8.8  WY-to-date: Obs:  634.0 Mean:  388.9
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     8     8     8     8     9
           Obs + Fcst:       11    11    12    12    12
           % of mean:                   131% 

August     Mean:    2.2
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          6     6     6     6     6
           % of mean:                   264% 

September  Mean:    1.8
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          4     4     5     5     6
           % of mean:                   250% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:  634.0    Mean:  397.9
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    18    18    19    19    21
           Obs + Fcst:      652   652   653   653   655
           % of mean:                   164%