Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 06/15/2025 1556Z
Data ending: 06/15/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: FTSC1 (Eel - Fort Seward 1 SE)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    3.4  Mean:   18.1  WY-to-date: Obs:    3.4 Mean:   18.1
2024       % of mean:    19% 

November   Obs:  584.1  Mean:  129.0  WY-to-date: Obs:  587.5 Mean:  147.1
2024       % of mean:    453% 

December   Obs: 1027.1  Mean:  497.1  WY-to-date: Obs: 1614.7 Mean:  644.2
2024       % of mean:    207% 

January    Obs:  423.1  Mean:  696.1  WY-to-date: Obs: 2037.8 Mean: 1340.3
2025       % of mean:    61% 

February   Obs: 1350.0  Mean:  614.3  WY-to-date: Obs: 3387.8 Mean: 1949.6
2025       % of mean:    220% 

March      Obs:  572.8  Mean:  609.7  WY-to-date: Obs: 3960.6 Mean: 2559.3
2025       % of mean:    94% 

April      Obs:  467.6  Mean:  324.2  WY-to-date: Obs: 4428.2 Mean: 2883.5
2025       % of mean:    144% 

May        Obs:   82.4  Mean:  152.5  WY-to-date: Obs: 4510.6 Mean: 3036.0
2025       % of mean:    54% 

June       Obs (thru 15@12Z):   15.1    Mean:   47.7  WY-to-date: Obs: 4525.8 Mean: 3074.6
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    10    10    12    13    13
           Obs + Fcst:       25    25    27    28    28
           % of mean:                    56% 

July       Mean:    9.6
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         11    11    14    14    15
           % of mean:                   141% 

August     Mean:    3.1
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          3     3     4     5     5
           % of mean:                   139% 

September  Mean:    2.8
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          0     0     1     2     4
           % of mean:                    43% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date: 4525.8    Mean: 3104.3
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    24    24    32    33    35
           Obs + Fcst:     4550  4550  4558  4559  4561
           % of mean:                   147%