Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 07/21/2025 1502Z
Data ending: 07/21/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: KKVC1 (Kern - fairview Dam, Nr Kernville)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:   13.8  Mean:   14.4  WY-to-date: Obs:   13.8 Mean:   14.4
2024       % of mean:    96% 

November   Obs:   19.4  Mean:   15.7  WY-to-date: Obs:   33.2 Mean:   30.2
2024       % of mean:    123% 

December   Obs:   20.3  Mean:   18.6  WY-to-date: Obs:   53.5 Mean:   48.8
2024       % of mean:    109% 

January    Obs:   18.2  Mean:   28.4  WY-to-date: Obs:   71.8 Mean:   77.1
2025       % of mean:    64% 

February   Obs:   33.4  Mean:   29.1  WY-to-date: Obs:  105.2 Mean:  105.9
2025       % of mean:    115% 

March      Obs:   50.3  Mean:   49.0  WY-to-date: Obs:  155.5 Mean:  154.9
2025       % of mean:    103% 

April      Obs:   83.7  Mean:   74.2  WY-to-date: Obs:  239.2 Mean:  229.1
2025       % of mean:    113% 

May        Obs:  119.6  Mean:  130.8  WY-to-date: Obs:  358.8 Mean:  360.0
2025       % of mean:    91% 

June       Obs:   84.7  Mean:  125.8  WY-to-date: Obs:  443.4 Mean:  485.7
2025       % of mean:    67% 

July       Obs (thru 21@12Z):   22.7    Mean:   69.2  WY-to-date: Obs:  466.1 Mean:  539.1
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     8     8     8     8     8
           Obs + Fcst:       30    30    30    30    30
           % of mean:                    44% 

August     Mean:   28.7
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         14    14    14    14    14
           % of mean:                    48% 

September  Mean:   16.5
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          9    10    10    10    11
           % of mean:                    58% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:  466.1    Mean:  600.4
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    31    31    31    31    32
           Obs + Fcst:      497   497   497   497   498
           % of mean:                    83%