Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 07/21/2025 1502Z
Data ending: 07/21/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: KRVC1 (Kern R - Kernville)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:   20.0  Mean:   14.6  WY-to-date: Obs:   20.0 Mean:   14.4
2024       % of mean:    137% 

November   Obs:   29.4  Mean:   15.9  WY-to-date: Obs:   49.4 Mean:   30.2
2024       % of mean:    185% 

December   Obs:   31.6  Mean:   18.6  WY-to-date: Obs:   80.9 Mean:   48.7
2024       % of mean:    170% 

January    Obs:   28.5  Mean:   28.4  WY-to-date: Obs:  109.4 Mean:   77.1
2025       % of mean:    100% 

February   Obs:   49.6  Mean:   29.1  WY-to-date: Obs:  158.9 Mean:  105.9
2025       % of mean:    171% 

March      Obs:   71.0  Mean:   49.0  WY-to-date: Obs:  230.0 Mean:  154.9
2025       % of mean:    145% 

April      Obs:  101.9  Mean:   73.9  WY-to-date: Obs:  331.9 Mean:  228.8
2025       % of mean:    138% 

May        Obs:  130.3  Mean:  130.8  WY-to-date: Obs:  462.2 Mean:  359.6
2025       % of mean:    100% 

June       Obs:   96.6  Mean:  125.8  WY-to-date: Obs:  558.8 Mean:  485.5
2025       % of mean:    77% 

July       Obs (thru 21@12Z):   29.4    Mean:   69.3  WY-to-date: Obs:  588.2 Mean:  538.9
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     8     8     8     8     8
           Obs + Fcst:       38    38    38    38    38
           % of mean:                    54% 

August     Mean:   26.8
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         15    15    15    15    16
           % of mean:                    57% 

September  Mean:   15.7
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         11    11    11    11    12
           % of mean:                    69% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:  588.2    Mean:  597.9
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    34    34    34    34    36
           Obs + Fcst:      622   622   622   623   624
           % of mean:                   104%