Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 07/16/2025 1621Z
Data ending: 07/16/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: KTRC1 (Kaweah - Three Rivers, At)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    3.9  Mean:    5.6  WY-to-date: Obs:    3.9 Mean:    5.6
2024       % of mean:    71% 

November   Obs:    9.5  Mean:    9.0  WY-to-date: Obs:   13.4 Mean:   14.6
2024       % of mean:    105% 

December   Obs:   10.9  Mean:   15.2  WY-to-date: Obs:   24.3 Mean:   29.8
2024       % of mean:    72% 

January    Obs:    8.9  Mean:   30.2  WY-to-date: Obs:   33.1 Mean:   60.0
2025       % of mean:    29% 

February   Obs:   37.1  Mean:   31.9  WY-to-date: Obs:   70.2 Mean:   91.6
2025       % of mean:    116% 

March      Obs:   46.9  Mean:   47.0  WY-to-date: Obs:  117.1 Mean:  138.9
2025       % of mean:    100% 

April      Obs:   68.0  Mean:   62.6  WY-to-date: Obs:  185.2 Mean:  201.6
2025       % of mean:    109% 

May        Obs:   77.3  Mean:   88.9  WY-to-date: Obs:  262.5 Mean:  291.0
2025       % of mean:    87% 

June       Obs:   41.7  Mean:   70.3  WY-to-date: Obs:  304.1 Mean:  362.9
2025       % of mean:    59% 

July       Obs (thru 16@12Z):    7.0    Mean:   32.5  WY-to-date: Obs:  311.1 Mean:  362.7
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     3     4     4     4     4
           Obs + Fcst:       10    11    11    11    11
           % of mean:                    33% 

August     Mean:    9.4
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          3     3     3     3     4
           % of mean:                    36% 

September  Mean:    4.8
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          2     2     2     2     2
           % of mean:                    40% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:  311.1    Mean:  407.3
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     9     9     9     9    10
           Obs + Fcst:      320   320   320   320   321
           % of mean:                    79%