Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 07/08/2025 1737Z
Data ending: 07/08/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: MFAC1 (Mf American - Foresthill, Nr)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    1.7  Mean:   12.4  WY-to-date: Obs:    1.7 Mean:   12.4
2024       % of mean:    13% 

November   Obs:    8.4  Mean:   31.3  WY-to-date: Obs:   10.1 Mean:   43.7
2024       % of mean:    27% 

December   Obs:   49.9  Mean:   79.7  WY-to-date: Obs:   60.0 Mean:  123.4
2024       % of mean:    63% 

January    Obs:   33.8  Mean:  107.7  WY-to-date: Obs:   93.8 Mean:  231.0
2025       % of mean:    31% 

February   Obs:  209.0  Mean:  118.8  WY-to-date: Obs:  302.8 Mean:  349.0
2025       % of mean:    176% 

March      Obs:  125.7  Mean:  154.8  WY-to-date: Obs:  428.5 Mean:  503.8
2025       % of mean:    81% 

April      Obs:  184.5  Mean:  169.7  WY-to-date: Obs:  613.0 Mean:  673.4
2025       % of mean:    109% 

May        Obs:  121.6  Mean:  173.9  WY-to-date: Obs:  734.7 Mean:  847.3
2025       % of mean:    70% 

June       Obs:   38.4  Mean:   90.6  WY-to-date: Obs:  773.1 Mean:  937.9
2025       % of mean:    42% 

July       Obs (thru 08@12Z):    2.3    Mean:   25.6  WY-to-date: Obs:  775.4 Mean:  950.0
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     9     9     9    10    10
           Obs + Fcst:       12    12    12    12    12
           % of mean:                    46% 

August     Mean:    7.2
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          7     7     7     7     8
           % of mean:                    99% 

September  Mean:    5.5
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          5     5     5     6     8
           % of mean:                    95% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:  775.4    Mean:  977.0
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    21    21    22    23    25
           Obs + Fcst:      797   797   797   799   800
           % of mean:                    82%