National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 07/12/2025 1549Z
Data ending: 07/12/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: MLMC1 (Mill Ck - Los Molinos, Nr)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    7.1  Mean:    7.5  WY-to-date: Obs:    7.1 Mean:    7.5
2024       % of mean:    95% 

November   Obs:   38.3  Mean:   10.9  WY-to-date: Obs:   45.4 Mean:   18.4
2024       % of mean:    350% 

December   Obs:   45.4  Mean:   21.8  WY-to-date: Obs:   90.8 Mean:   40.3
2024       % of mean:    208% 

January    Obs:   25.7  Mean:   27.1  WY-to-date: Obs:  116.5 Mean:   67.3
2025       % of mean:    95% 

February   Obs:   71.4  Mean:   27.1  WY-to-date: Obs:  187.9 Mean:   94.2
2025       % of mean:    264% 

March      Obs:   34.1  Mean:   31.1  WY-to-date: Obs:  222.0 Mean:  125.3
2025       % of mean:    109% 

April      Obs:   35.4  Mean:   25.0  WY-to-date: Obs:  257.4 Mean:  150.3
2025       % of mean:    141% 

May        Obs:   28.5  Mean:   25.7  WY-to-date: Obs:  285.9 Mean:  176.1
2025       % of mean:    111% 

June       Obs:   18.5  Mean:   18.6  WY-to-date: Obs:  304.4 Mean:  194.7
2025       % of mean:    99% 

July       Obs (thru 12@12Z):    4.7    Mean:   11.1  WY-to-date: Obs:  309.1 Mean:  200.0
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     6     6     6     6     6
           Obs + Fcst:       11    11    11    11    11
           % of mean:                    95% 

August     Mean:    7.4
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          8     8     8     8     8
           % of mean:                   103% 

September  Mean:    6.4
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          7     7     7     7     7
           % of mean:                   107% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:  309.1    Mean:  219.7
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    20    20    20    20    20
           Obs + Fcst:      329   329   329   329   330
           % of mean:                   150%