Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 05/16/2024 1648Z
Data ending: 05/16/2024 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: MMCC1 (Mccloud - Mccloud, Nr)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:   43.5  Mean:   46.5  WY-to-date: Obs:   43.5 Mean:   46.5
2023       % of mean:    94% 

November   Obs:   41.9  Mean:   46.0  WY-to-date: Obs:   85.4 Mean:   92.5
2023       % of mean:    91% 

December   Obs:   43.7  Mean:   51.6  WY-to-date: Obs:  129.1 Mean:  144.1
2023       % of mean:    85% 

January    Obs:   50.3  Mean:   53.3  WY-to-date: Obs:  179.4 Mean:  197.4
2024       % of mean:    94% 

February   Obs:   62.7  Mean:   54.2  WY-to-date: Obs:  242.0 Mean:  253.0
2024       % of mean:    116% 

March      Obs:   66.7  Mean:   66.2  WY-to-date: Obs:  308.7 Mean:  319.3
2024       % of mean:    101% 

April      Obs:   64.0  Mean:   64.7  WY-to-date: Obs:  372.7 Mean:  384.0
2024       % of mean:    99% 

May        Obs (thru 16@12Z):   33.7    Mean:   64.3  WY-to-date: Obs:  406.4 Mean:  417.0
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    30    30    30    31    32
           Obs + Fcst:       64    64    64    65    66
           % of mean:                   100% 

June       Mean:   53.6
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         48    49    49    51    53
           % of mean:                    92% 

July       Mean:   49.9
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         46    47    47    47    48
           % of mean:                    94% 

August     Mean:   48.0
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         45    45    45    45    46
           % of mean:                    94% 

September  Mean:   45.4
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         42    42    42    42    43
           % of mean:                    92% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:  406.4    Mean:  643.7
WY2024     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:   209   211   213   216   218
           Obs + Fcst:      616   618   619   623   625
           % of mean:                    96%