Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 05/07/2025 1614Z
Data ending: 05/07/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: MMCC1 (Mccloud - Mccloud, Nr)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:   47.1  Mean:   46.3  WY-to-date: Obs:   47.1 Mean:   46.3
2024       % of mean:    102% 

November   Obs:   46.1  Mean:   45.8  WY-to-date: Obs:   93.2 Mean:   92.1
2024       % of mean:    101% 

December   Obs:   54.8  Mean:   51.3  WY-to-date: Obs:  147.9 Mean:  143.4
2024       % of mean:    107% 

January    Obs:   56.3  Mean:   53.1  WY-to-date: Obs:  204.2 Mean:  196.5
2025       % of mean:    106% 

February   Obs:   73.1  Mean:   53.8  WY-to-date: Obs:  277.3 Mean:  249.8
2025       % of mean:    136% 

March      Obs:   76.4  Mean:   65.8  WY-to-date: Obs:  353.7 Mean:  315.6
2025       % of mean:    116% 

April      Obs:   78.7  Mean:   64.6  WY-to-date: Obs:  432.4 Mean:  380.2
2025       % of mean:    122% 

May        Obs (thru 07@12Z):   16.2    Mean:   64.9  WY-to-date: Obs:  448.6 Mean:  396.0
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    64    65    67    68    71
           Obs + Fcst:       81    82    83    84    87
           % of mean:                   127% 

June       Mean:   53.8
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         64    66    67    71    74
           % of mean:                   124% 

July       Mean:   49.9
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         57    57    58    59    61
           % of mean:                   116% 

August     Mean:   48.1
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         53    54    54    54    55
           % of mean:                   112% 

September  Mean:   45.4
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         50    50    50    51    51
           % of mean:                   110% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:  448.6    Mean:  642.8
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:   289   291   294   299   309
           Obs + Fcst:      737   740   743   748   758
           % of mean:                   116%