Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 06/16/2025 1408Z
Data ending: 06/16/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: MRNC1 (Sf Eel - Miranda, Nr 4 SE)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    1.6  Mean:    9.8  WY-to-date: Obs:    1.6 Mean:    9.8
2024       % of mean:    17% 

November   Obs:  258.7  Mean:   65.3  WY-to-date: Obs:  260.4 Mean:   75.0
2024       % of mean:    396% 

December   Obs:  438.6  Mean:  221.6  WY-to-date: Obs:  699.0 Mean:  296.6
2024       % of mean:    198% 

January    Obs:  178.3  Mean:  267.2  WY-to-date: Obs:  877.4 Mean:  563.8
2025       % of mean:    67% 

February   Obs:  441.8  Mean:  235.4  WY-to-date: Obs: 1319.2 Mean:  797.2
2025       % of mean:    188% 

March      Obs:  234.2  Mean:  224.3  WY-to-date: Obs: 1553.4 Mean: 1021.5
2025       % of mean:    104% 

April      Obs:  156.5  Mean:  107.9  WY-to-date: Obs: 1709.9 Mean: 1129.4
2025       % of mean:    145% 

May        Obs:   27.3  Mean:   42.9  WY-to-date: Obs: 1737.1 Mean: 1172.4
2025       % of mean:    63% 

June       Obs (thru 16@12Z):    6.2    Mean:   18.2  WY-to-date: Obs: 1743.4 Mean: 1186.6
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     5     5     5     5     5
           Obs + Fcst:       11    11    11    11    11
           % of mean:                    60% 

July       Mean:    6.2
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          5     5     5     5     6
           % of mean:                    83% 

August     Mean:    2.8
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          1     1     1     1     1
           % of mean:                    39% 

September  Mean:    2.7
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          0     0     0     1     2
           % of mean:                    10% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date: 1743.4    Mean: 1204.3
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    11    11    11    12    13
           Obs + Fcst:     1754  1754  1755  1756  1756
           % of mean:                   146%