Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 07/13/2025 1623Z
Data ending: 07/13/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: PFTC1 (Kings - Pine Flat Dam, Blo)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:   11.6  Mean:   23.9  WY-to-date: Obs:   11.6 Mean:   23.9
2024       % of mean:    48% 

November   Obs:   18.5  Mean:   30.7  WY-to-date: Obs:   30.1 Mean:   54.6
2024       % of mean:    60% 

December   Obs:   28.6  Mean:   48.0  WY-to-date: Obs:   58.7 Mean:  102.6
2024       % of mean:    60% 

January    Obs:   22.3  Mean:   89.3  WY-to-date: Obs:   81.0 Mean:  191.9
2025       % of mean:    25% 

February   Obs:   84.9  Mean:   91.9  WY-to-date: Obs:  165.9 Mean:  283.0
2025       % of mean:    92% 

March      Obs:  127.4  Mean:  145.0  WY-to-date: Obs:  293.3 Mean:  427.9
2025       % of mean:    88% 

April      Obs:  242.0  Mean:  238.2  WY-to-date: Obs:  535.3 Mean:  666.2
2025       % of mean:    102% 

May        Obs:  367.4  Mean:  426.5  WY-to-date: Obs:  902.7 Mean: 1092.7
2025       % of mean:    86% 

June       Obs:  210.9  Mean:  380.5  WY-to-date: Obs: 1113.6 Mean: 1473.2
2025       % of mean:    55% 

July       Obs (thru 13@12Z):   33.5    Mean:  181.7  WY-to-date: Obs: 1147.1 Mean: 1575.4
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    31    31    31    31    31
           Obs + Fcst:       64    64    64    64    64
           % of mean:                    35% 

August     Mean:   56.3
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         27    27    27    27    28
           % of mean:                    48% 

September  Mean:   27.0
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         13    13    14    15    16
           % of mean:                    51% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date: 1147.1    Mean: 1739.0
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    70    71    71    73    79
           Obs + Fcst:     1218  1218  1218  1220  1226
           % of mean:                    70%