Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 05/18/2024 1628Z
Data ending: 05/18/2024 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: PLYC1 (Sf Pit - Likely, Nr)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    1.8  Mean:    1.9  WY-to-date: Obs:    1.8 Mean:    1.9
2023       % of mean:    95% 

November   Obs:    0.5  Mean:    1.1  WY-to-date: Obs:    2.4 Mean:    3.1
2023       % of mean:    48% 

December   Obs:    0.5  Mean:    1.1  WY-to-date: Obs:    2.8 Mean:    4.1
2023       % of mean:    43% 

January    Obs:    0.5  Mean:    1.2  WY-to-date: Obs:    3.3 Mean:    5.4
2024       % of mean:    41% 

February   Obs:    0.2  Mean:    1.2  WY-to-date: Obs:    3.6 Mean:    6.6
2024       % of mean:    19% 

March      Obs:    0.3  Mean:    1.9  WY-to-date: Obs:    3.8 Mean:    8.5
2024       % of mean:    14% 

April      Obs:    6.5  Mean:    5.6  WY-to-date: Obs:   10.3 Mean:   14.1
2024       % of mean:    116% 

May        Obs (thru 18@12Z):    9.8    Mean:   13.8  WY-to-date: Obs:   20.1 Mean:   21.6
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     7     7     7     7     7
           Obs + Fcst:       17    17    17    17    17
           % of mean:                   121% 

June       Mean:   11.1
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          9     9    10    12    14
           % of mean:                    87% 

July       Mean:    8.1
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          7     7     7     8     9
           % of mean:                    84% 

August     Mean:    8.2
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          5     5     6     6     7
           % of mean:                    68% 

September  Mean:    3.9
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          4     4     4     5     5
           % of mean:                   111% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:   20.1    Mean:   59.2
WY2024     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    32    32    33    37    41
           Obs + Fcst:       52    52    53    57    61
           % of mean:                    90%