Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 05/09/2025 1634Z
Data ending: 05/09/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: PLYC1 (Sf Pit - Likely, Nr)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    1.8  Mean:    1.9  WY-to-date: Obs:    1.8 Mean:    1.9
2024       % of mean:    92% 

November   Obs:    0.4  Mean:    1.1  WY-to-date: Obs:    2.2 Mean:    3.0
2024       % of mean:    39% 

December   Obs:    0.9  Mean:    1.1  WY-to-date: Obs:    3.1 Mean:    4.1
2024       % of mean:    86% 

January    Obs:    1.1  Mean:    1.2  WY-to-date: Obs:    4.2 Mean:    5.3
2025       % of mean:    89% 

February   Obs:    1.4  Mean:    1.1  WY-to-date: Obs:    5.6 Mean:    6.5
2025       % of mean:    123% 

March      Obs:    1.5  Mean:    1.9  WY-to-date: Obs:    7.1 Mean:    8.4
2025       % of mean:    81% 

April      Obs:   12.7  Mean:    5.5  WY-to-date: Obs:   19.8 Mean:   13.9
2025       % of mean:    231% 

May        Obs (thru 09@12Z):    6.5    Mean:   13.8  WY-to-date: Obs:   26.3 Mean:   17.4
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    11    11    12    13    16
           Obs + Fcst:       17    18    19    20    22
           % of mean:                   135% 

June       Mean:   11.1
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          9     9    10    12    17
           % of mean:                    90% 

July       Mean:    8.2
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          7     7     7     8    10
           % of mean:                    89% 

August     Mean:    8.2
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          5     6     6     6     7
           % of mean:                    71% 

September  Mean:    3.9
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          4     4     5     5     6
           % of mean:                   117% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:   26.3    Mean:   59.1
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    36    37    40    44    52
           Obs + Fcst:       62    63    66    71    79
           % of mean:                   112%