Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 07/19/2025 1542Z
Data ending: 07/19/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: SCSC1 (Tule - Success Dam)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    2.6  Mean:    1.6  WY-to-date: Obs:    2.6 Mean:    1.6
2024       % of mean:    158% 

November   Obs:    7.1  Mean:    4.3  WY-to-date: Obs:    9.7 Mean:    5.9
2024       % of mean:    167% 

December   Obs:    7.2  Mean:    9.0  WY-to-date: Obs:   16.9 Mean:   14.9
2024       % of mean:    79% 

January    Obs:    6.0  Mean:   19.3  WY-to-date: Obs:   22.9 Mean:   34.2
2025       % of mean:    31% 

February   Obs:   22.5  Mean:   20.1  WY-to-date: Obs:   45.4 Mean:   54.2
2025       % of mean:    112% 

March      Obs:   38.4  Mean:   29.8  WY-to-date: Obs:   83.8 Mean:   84.0
2025       % of mean:    129% 

April      Obs:   31.8  Mean:   24.4  WY-to-date: Obs:  115.6 Mean:  108.4
2025       % of mean:    130% 

May        Obs:   17.9  Mean:   20.6  WY-to-date: Obs:  133.5 Mean:  129.0
2025       % of mean:    87% 

June       Obs:    8.0  Mean:   11.9  WY-to-date: Obs:  141.5 Mean:  140.9
2025       % of mean:    68% 

July       Obs (thru 19@12Z):    4.1    Mean:    4.5  WY-to-date: Obs:  145.6 Mean:  144.4
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     2     2     2     2     2
           Obs + Fcst:        6     6     6     6     6
           % of mean:                   124% 

August     Mean:    1.9
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          3     3     3     3     3
           % of mean:                   140% 

September  Mean:    1.2
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          2     2     2     2     2
           % of mean:                   155% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:  145.6    Mean:  148.7
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     6     6     6     6     7
           Obs + Fcst:      152   152   152   152   152
           % of mean:                   102%