Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 12/28/2025 1815Z
Data ending: 12/28/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: SHDC1 (Sacramento - Shasta Dam)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:  219.6  Mean:  225.5  WY-to-date: Obs:  219.6 Mean:  225.5
2025       % of mean:    97% 

November   Obs:  389.5  Mean:  299.1  WY-to-date: Obs:  609.1 Mean:  524.5
2025       % of mean:    130% 

December   Obs (thru 28@12Z):  727.1    Mean:  529.3  WY-to-date: Obs: 1336.3 Mean:  985.2
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:   142   142   143   143   144
           Obs + Fcst:      869   869   870   870   871
           % of mean:                   164% 

January    Mean:  707.5
2026       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:        605   851  1089  1465  1777
           % of mean:                   154% 

February   Mean:  801.9
2026       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:        411   458   790  1155  1660
           % of mean:                    99% 

March      Mean:  917.6
2026       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:        376   631   917  1294  1560
           % of mean:                   100% 

April      Mean:  647.8
2026       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:        358   398   615   876  1210
           % of mean:                    95% 

May        Mean:  505.4
2026       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:        265   329   422   662   859
           % of mean:                    84% 

June       Mean:  316.1
2026       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:        208   230   283   359   479
           % of mean:                    89% 

July       Mean:  229.2
2026       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:        183   193   223   264   280
           % of mean:                    98% 

August     Mean:  201.8
2026       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:        171   179   207   227   251
           % of mean:                   102% 

September  Mean:  194.3
2026       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:        166   176   197   218   242
           % of mean:                   101% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date: 1336.3    Mean: 5575.4
WY2026     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:  3302  3840  5023  6378  7992
           Obs + Fcst:     4638  5177  6360  7715  9328
           % of mean:                   114%