Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 05/02/2025 1556Z
Data ending: 05/02/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: SHDC1 (Sacramento - Shasta Dam)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:  163.5  Mean:  226.3  WY-to-date: Obs:  163.5 Mean:  226.3
2024       % of mean:    72% 

November   Obs:  424.8  Mean:  301.3  WY-to-date: Obs:  588.4 Mean:  527.6
2024       % of mean:    141% 

December   Obs:  877.5  Mean:  534.3  WY-to-date: Obs: 1465.8 Mean: 1061.9
2024       % of mean:    164% 

January    Obs:  642.6  Mean:  706.5  WY-to-date: Obs: 2108.5 Mean: 1768.4
2025       % of mean:    91% 

February   Obs: 1543.9  Mean:  792.2  WY-to-date: Obs: 3652.4 Mean: 2553.1
2025       % of mean:    195% 

March      Obs:  991.0  Mean:  914.8  WY-to-date: Obs: 4643.4 Mean: 3467.9
2025       % of mean:    108% 

April      Obs:  744.2  Mean:  647.8  WY-to-date: Obs: 5387.6 Mean: 4115.7
2025       % of mean:    115% 

May        Obs (thru 02@12Z):   33.6    Mean:  506.5  WY-to-date: Obs: 5421.2 Mean: 4160.9
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:   471   480   502   540   620
           Obs + Fcst:      504   514   536   574   653
           % of mean:                   106% 

June       Mean:  317.5
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:        320   332   343   374   433
           % of mean:                   108% 

July       Mean:  229.9
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:        254   259   263   273   286
           % of mean:                   114% 

August     Mean:  202.2
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:        227   228   230   232   239
           % of mean:                   114% 

September  Mean:  195.0
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:        216   217   220   225   233
           % of mean:                   113% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date: 5421.2    Mean: 5574.4
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:  1505  1524  1558  1623  1821
           Obs + Fcst:     6926  6946  6979  7044  7242
           % of mean:                   125%