National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 07/20/2025 1459Z
Data ending: 07/20/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: SKRC1 (Sf Kern - Onyx, Nr)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    1.5  Mean:    1.5  WY-to-date: Obs:    1.5 Mean:    1.5
2024       % of mean:    103% 

November   Obs:    2.5  Mean:    2.4  WY-to-date: Obs:    4.0 Mean:    3.9
2024       % of mean:    106% 

December   Obs:    2.7  Mean:    3.0  WY-to-date: Obs:    6.8 Mean:    6.8
2024       % of mean:    92% 

January    Obs:    2.4  Mean:    5.1  WY-to-date: Obs:    9.2 Mean:   11.9
2025       % of mean:    46% 

February   Obs:    5.9  Mean:    6.2  WY-to-date: Obs:   15.1 Mean:   18.1
2025       % of mean:    95% 

March      Obs:    9.1  Mean:   12.9  WY-to-date: Obs:   24.2 Mean:   31.0
2025       % of mean:    71% 

April      Obs:   15.7  Mean:   23.5  WY-to-date: Obs:   39.9 Mean:   54.5
2025       % of mean:    67% 

May        Obs:   10.8  Mean:   26.9  WY-to-date: Obs:   50.7 Mean:   81.3
2025       % of mean:    40% 

June       Obs:    3.7  Mean:   11.6  WY-to-date: Obs:   54.4 Mean:   92.7
2025       % of mean:    32% 

July       Obs (thru 20@12Z):    0.9    Mean:    3.5  WY-to-date: Obs:   55.3 Mean:   96.9
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     0     0     0     0     0
           Obs + Fcst:        1     1     1     1     1
           % of mean:                    27% 

August     Mean:    1.7
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          0     0     0     0     0
           % of mean:                     6% 

September  Mean:    1.1
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          0     0     0     0     0
           % of mean:                    10% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:   55.3    Mean:   99.3
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     0     0     0     0     0
           Obs + Fcst:       56    56    56    56    56
           % of mean:                    56%