National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 07/10/2025 1608Z
Data ending: 07/10/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: SPYC1 (Stumpy Meadows Lake - )

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    0.3  Mean:    0.4  WY-to-date: Obs:    0.3 Mean:    0.4
2024       % of mean:    68% 

November   Obs:    0.5  Mean:    0.7  WY-to-date: Obs:    0.7 Mean:    1.1
2024       % of mean:    66% 

December   Obs:    1.2  Mean:    1.8  WY-to-date: Obs:    1.9 Mean:    2.9
2024       % of mean:    67% 

January    Obs:    1.2  Mean:    2.8  WY-to-date: Obs:    3.1 Mean:    5.6
2025       % of mean:    43% 

February   Obs:    6.7  Mean:    3.1  WY-to-date: Obs:    9.8 Mean:    8.8
2025       % of mean:    214% 

March      Obs:    3.4  Mean:    3.8  WY-to-date: Obs:   13.2 Mean:   12.6
2025       % of mean:    87% 

April      Obs:    5.1  Mean:    3.2  WY-to-date: Obs:   18.2 Mean:   15.8
2025       % of mean:    157% 

May        Obs:    1.6  Mean:    2.2  WY-to-date: Obs:   19.8 Mean:   18.0
2025       % of mean:    71% 

June       Obs:    0.9  Mean:    1.0  WY-to-date: Obs:   20.7 Mean:   19.0
2025       % of mean:    88% 

July       Obs (thru 10@12Z):    0.2    Mean:    0.5  WY-to-date: Obs:   20.9 Mean:   19.5
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     0     0     0     0     0
           Obs + Fcst:        1     1     1     1     1
           % of mean:                   101% 

August     Mean:    0.3
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          0     0     0     0     0
           % of mean:                    89% 

September  Mean:    0.3
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          0     0     0     0     0
           % of mean:                    85% 

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Water Year Obs-To-Date:   20.9    Mean:   20.1
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     1     1     1     1     1
           Obs + Fcst:       22    22    22    22    22
           % of mean:                   108%