Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 05/07/2024 1644Z
Data ending: 05/07/2024 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: TCCC1 (Trinity - Coffee Ck, Ab)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    2.6  Mean:    4.2  WY-to-date: Obs:    2.6 Mean:    4.2
2023       % of mean:    62% 

November   Obs:    3.6  Mean:    9.1  WY-to-date: Obs:    6.1 Mean:   13.3
2023       % of mean:    39% 

December   Obs:   18.9  Mean:   19.1  WY-to-date: Obs:   25.0 Mean:   32.3
2023       % of mean:    99% 

January    Obs:   46.9  Mean:   24.5  WY-to-date: Obs:   71.9 Mean:   56.8
2024       % of mean:    191% 

February   Obs:   51.9  Mean:   30.7  WY-to-date: Obs:  123.8 Mean:   88.4
2024       % of mean:    169% 

March      Obs:   42.2  Mean:   43.8  WY-to-date: Obs:  166.0 Mean:  132.2
2024       % of mean:    96% 

April      Obs:   68.0  Mean:   52.2  WY-to-date: Obs:  234.0 Mean:  184.3
2024       % of mean:    130% 

May        Obs (thru 07@12Z):   15.3    Mean:   58.2  WY-to-date: Obs:  249.3 Mean:  197.8
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    68    72    74    76    80
           Obs + Fcst:       83    87    89    92    95
           % of mean:                   153% 

June       Mean:   29.1
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         25    27    29    32    39
           % of mean:                   101% 

July       Mean:    8.2
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          4     5     5     6     7
           % of mean:                    63% 

August     Mean:    3.2
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          2     2     2     2     3
           % of mean:                    75% 

September  Mean:    2.3
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          2     2     2     2     2
           % of mean:                    86% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:  249.3    Mean:  284.6
WY2024     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:   108   110   112   116   124
           Obs + Fcst:      357   359   362   365   373
           % of mean:                   127%