Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 07/15/2025 1606Z
Data ending: 07/15/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: TMDC1 (Kaweah - Terminus Dam)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    4.1  Mean:    5.8  WY-to-date: Obs:    4.1 Mean:    5.8
2024       % of mean:    70% 

November   Obs:    8.1  Mean:    9.6  WY-to-date: Obs:   12.2 Mean:   15.4
2024       % of mean:    84% 

December   Obs:   11.3  Mean:   16.2  WY-to-date: Obs:   23.5 Mean:   31.6
2024       % of mean:    70% 

January    Obs:    8.7  Mean:   33.9  WY-to-date: Obs:   32.2 Mean:   65.5
2025       % of mean:    26% 

February   Obs:   40.4  Mean:   35.4  WY-to-date: Obs:   72.6 Mean:  100.5
2025       % of mean:    114% 

March      Obs:   52.8  Mean:   55.6  WY-to-date: Obs:  125.4 Mean:  156.1
2025       % of mean:    95% 

April      Obs:   73.5  Mean:   69.4  WY-to-date: Obs:  198.9 Mean:  225.6
2025       % of mean:    106% 

May        Obs:   87.1  Mean:   99.5  WY-to-date: Obs:  286.0 Mean:  325.1
2025       % of mean:    88% 

June       Obs:   43.6  Mean:   79.2  WY-to-date: Obs:  329.6 Mean:  404.3
2025       % of mean:    55% 

July       Obs (thru 15@12Z):    6.5    Mean:   35.2  WY-to-date: Obs:  336.1 Mean:  426.9
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     4     4     4     4     4
           Obs + Fcst:       11    11    11    11    11
           % of mean:                    31% 

August     Mean:   10.4
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          4     4     4     4     4
           % of mean:                    36% 

September  Mean:    5.1
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          2     2     2     2     3
           % of mean:                    40% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:  336.1    Mean:  455.3
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    10    10    10    10    11
           Obs + Fcst:      346   346   346   346   347
           % of mean:                    76%