Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 04/23/2024 1546Z
Data ending: 04/23/2024 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: WHSC1 (Clear Ck - Whiskeytown Res)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    5.1  Mean:    4.1  WY-to-date: Obs:    5.1 Mean:    4.1
2023       % of mean:    125% 

November   Obs:    5.4  Mean:   10.3  WY-to-date: Obs:   10.5 Mean:   14.4
2023       % of mean:    52% 

December   Obs:   16.7  Mean:   29.2  WY-to-date: Obs:   27.2 Mean:   43.6
2023       % of mean:    57% 

January    Obs:   67.2  Mean:   44.3  WY-to-date: Obs:   94.4 Mean:   87.9
2024       % of mean:    152% 

February   Obs:  152.5  Mean:   56.1  WY-to-date: Obs:  246.9 Mean:  145.8
2024       % of mean:    272% 

March      Obs:   63.4  Mean:   59.5  WY-to-date: Obs:  310.3 Mean:  205.3
2024       % of mean:    107% 

April      Obs (thru 23@12Z):   29.2    Mean:   35.9  WY-to-date: Obs:  339.6 Mean:  233.0
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     6     6     6     6     7
           Obs + Fcst:       35    35    35    35    36
           % of mean:                    98% 

May        Mean:   21.3
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         15    15    16    19    29
           % of mean:                    74% 

June       Mean:    9.7
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         10    10    10    11    15
           % of mean:                   102% 

July       Mean:    4.1
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          6     7     7     7     8
           % of mean:                   161% 

August     Mean:    2.8
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          4     4     4     5     6
           % of mean:                   153% 

September  Mean:    2.6
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          3     3     3     3     4
           % of mean:                   114% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:  339.6    Mean:  279.9
WY2024     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    44    45    47    51    66
           Obs + Fcst:      384   384   386   390   406
           % of mean:                   138%