CNRFC - Hydrology - Water Supply - Raw ESP Forecast

*** IMPORTANT *** Week of June 16 - Website Data Outage - Due to a major computer upgrade the week of June 16, nearly all data on the CNRFC web site will not be updated. We anticipate the down time to be approximately 4 days. The latest deterministic hydrologic forecasts for official forecast points will continue to be available at the National Water Prediction Service during this time.

Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 06/16/2025 1408Z
Data ending: 06/16/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: WMSO3 (Williamson - Sprague, Blo, Nr Chiloquin, Or)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:   32.1  Mean:   36.2  WY-to-date: Obs:   32.1 Mean:   36.2
2024       % of mean:    89% 

November   Obs:   36.2  Mean:   40.2  WY-to-date: Obs:   68.3 Mean:   76.4
2024       % of mean:    90% 

December   Obs:   46.5  Mean:   49.6  WY-to-date: Obs:  114.8 Mean:  126.0
2024       % of mean:    94% 

January    Obs:   95.3  Mean:   59.0  WY-to-date: Obs:  210.1 Mean:  185.0
2025       % of mean:    161% 

February   Obs:   49.6  Mean:   65.5  WY-to-date: Obs:  259.8 Mean:  249.9
2025       % of mean:    76% 

March      Obs:  168.8  Mean:   96.3  WY-to-date: Obs:  428.6 Mean:  346.1
2025       % of mean:    175% 

April      Obs:  215.1  Mean:  101.0  WY-to-date: Obs:  643.7 Mean:  447.2
2025       % of mean:    213% 

May        Obs:  123.1  Mean:   90.1  WY-to-date: Obs:  766.8 Mean:  537.2
2025       % of mean:    137% 

June       Obs (thru 16@12Z):   26.0    Mean:   52.2  WY-to-date: Obs:  792.8 Mean:  570.2
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    33    33    33    33    33
           Obs + Fcst:       59    59    59    59    59
           % of mean:                   113% 

July       Mean:   33.2
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         49    50    50    50    51
           % of mean:                   150% 

August     Mean:   29.0
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         41    41    41    42    42
           % of mean:                   142% 

September  Mean:   30.3
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         42    42    42    43    44
           % of mean:                   139% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:  792.8    Mean:  682.7
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:   163   164   165   166   168
           Obs + Fcst:      956   957   958   959   960
           % of mean:                   140%

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