CNRFC - Ensemble Products

*** IMPORTANT *** Week of June 16 - Website Data Outage - Due to a major computer upgrade the week of June 16, nearly all data on the CNRFC web site will not be updated. We anticipate the down time to be approximately 4 days. The latest deterministic hydrologic forecasts for official forecast points will continue to be available at the National Water Prediction Service during this time.

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SACRAMENTO RIVER - BEND BRIDGE (BDBC1)

Latitude: 40.29º N	Longitude: 122.19º W	Elevation: 286 Feet
Location: Tehama County in California		Bulletin Group: Upper Sacramento		River Group: Upper Sacramento

Issuance Time:

Jun 16, 2025 at 6:21 AM PDT

Action/Monitor: 22.0 Feet

Minor Flood: 27.0 Feet

Moderate Flood: 29.5 Feet

Major Flood: 31.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | BDBC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
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Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
29.5 Feet	Adobe Road at Surrey Village is flooded and closed. Approximately 200 homes are isolated. Homes begin to flood along Fisher Road on the east side of the river.
27.0 Feet	Overflow of the east bank begins upstream of gage.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ015)

Today: Sunny. Highs around 79. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.

Tonight: Clear. Lows 52 to 58. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.

Sunday: Sunny. Highs around 84. North winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.

Sunday Night: Clear. Lows 59 to 65. North winds around 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph.

Monday: Sunny, warmer. Highs 90 to 96. North winds around 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph.

Monday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 60 to 66.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs 93 to 99.

Tuesday Night through Friday: Clear. Lows 61 to 67. Highs 92 to 100.

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