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SALINAS RIVER - BRADLEY (BRDC1)

Latitude: 35.93º N	Longitude: 120.87º W	Elevation: 443 Feet
Location: Monterey County in California		Bulletin Group: Central Coast		River Group: Salinas/Pajaro

Issuance Time:

Apr 17, 2024 at 9:08 AM PDT

Monitor Stage: 12.0 Feet

Flood Stage: 14.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble File Download (Data in kcfs): BRDC1

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		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
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Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Impacts - E19 Information
14.0 Feet	Right bank overflows at gage. San Ardo oil fields in danger of flooding.
16.0 Feet	Minor flooding of agricultural lands and lowest portions of towns within the reach of the gage (Bradley, San Ardo, San Lucas, King City, Greenfield, and Soledad). Flooding begins at San Ardo oil fields.
18.0 Feet	Minor flooding of San Ardo oil fields. Significant flooding of lowest portions of towns within the reach of the gage. Flooding of secondary roads begins along the reach. Significant flooding of agricultural land within the reach. Minor damage due to erosion and sediment deposition.
20.0 Feet	Moderate flooding occurs along the lwoer portions of towns within the reach. Many secondary and some primary roads inundated. Major damage due to erosion and sediment deposition with 15,000 acres possibly inundated in the Salinas Valley. Major damage to agriculturals land occurs within the reach of the gage.
22.0 Feet	Major flooding occurs along lower portions of towns within the reach. Many secondary roads damaged. Sewage treatment plants within the reach in danger of being flooded. Primary roads inundated making travel in the Salinas Valley difficult. Some access to bridges washed out. San Ardo oil fields flooded. Major damage continues to wide expanses of agricultural land in the Salinas Valley with at least 40,000 acres inundated.
23.0 Feet	Disastrous flooding within the reach. Evacuations likely for towns within the reach. Some homes along the lower portions of towns in danger of being flooded. At least 90,000 acres of farm land iinundated in the Salinas Valley. Disastrous flooding to wide expanses of agricultural land in the Salinas Valley, including damage due to erosion and sediment deposition.
23.44 Feet	Flood stage of record. March 11, 1995, 120,000 cfs. Extensive flood damage to roads and agricultural land in the Salinas Valley. 100,000 acres inundated in the Salinas Valley with at least 2,000 acres permanently destroyed by erosion and sediment deposition.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ516)

Tonight: Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph in the evening and becoming light.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. Patchy fog after midnight. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.

Friday: Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds and Becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Friday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

Saturday: Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.

Saturday Night and Sunday: Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 80.

Sunday Night through Monday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.

Tuesday through Wednesday: Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s. Lows in the mid 40s.

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