CNRFC - Ensemble Products

Short-Range Products (hourly timestep)

Long-Range Products (daily timestep)

Back to Ensemble Products Map

Location:

<<< Previous Ensemble Location (SNRC1) | Next Ensemble Location (KCYC1) >>>

SALINAS RIVER - BRADLEY (BRDC1)

Latitude: 35.93º N	Longitude: 120.87º W	Elevation: 443 Feet
Location: Monterey County in California		Bulletin Group: Central Coast		River Group: Salinas/Pajaro

Issuance Time:

May 18, 2025 at 9:26 AM PDT

Action/Monitor: 12.0 Feet

Minor Flood: 14.0 Feet

Moderate Flood: 20.0 Feet

Major Flood: 22.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | BRDC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
23.0 Feet	Disastrous flooding occurs across wide expanses of agricultural land in the Salinas Valley. At least 90,000 acres of farm land is in danger of flooding. Salinas Valley travel is impossible. Some residences along the lower portions of Bradley, San Ardo, San Lucas, King City, Greenfield and Soledad are in danger of flooding.
22.0 Feet	Major flooding occurs along the lower portions of Bradley, San Ardo, San Lucas, King City, Greenfield and Soledad. Most primary and secondary roads are flooded making travel in the Salinas Valley very difficult. Widespread flooding occurs at the San Ardo oil fields. Water and sewage treatment plants along the upper Salinas River are in danger of flooding.
20.0 Feet	Moderate flooding occurs along the lower portions of Bradley, San Ardo, San Lucas, King City, Greenfield and Soledad. Many of the secondary roads and some of the primary roads along the Salinas River will flood. Major damage to farm land along the upper Salinas River is expected.
18.0 Feet	Minor flooding begins at the San Ardo oil fields. Significant flooding occurs along the lowest portions of towns from Bradley to Soledad. Erosion will cause minor damage to agricultural land. Some secondary roads from Bradley to Soledad will flood.
16.0 Feet	Minor flooding of agricultural land is expected. The lower portions of the San Ardo oil fields is close to flooding.
14.0 Feet	Minor lowland flooding is expected.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ516)

Today: Sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 80s. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph and becoming 5 to 15 mph after midnight. Gusts up to 35 mph.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs in the 80s. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows around 50. Northwest winds around 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph after midnight.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s.

Thursday and Thursday Night: Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s. Lows in the upper 40s.

Friday through Sunday: Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Lows in the upper 40s.

NWS RSS Feed