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SALINAS RIVER - BRADLEY (BRDC1)

Latitude: 35.93º N	Longitude: 120.87º W	Elevation: 443 Feet
Location: Monterey County in California		Bulletin Group: Central Coast		River Group: Salinas/Pajaro

Issuance Time:

Oct 15, 2024 at 8:46 AM PDT

Monitor Stage: 12.0 Feet

Flood Stage: 14.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble File Download (Data in feet): BRDC1

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		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
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Impacts - E19 Information
23.0 Feet	Disastrous flooding occurs across wide expanses of agricultural land in the Salinas Valley. At least 90,000 acres of farm land is in danger of flooding. Salinas Valley travel is impossible. Some residences along the lower portions of Bradley, San Ardo, San Lucas, King City, Greenfield and Soledad are in danger of flooding.
22.0 Feet	Major flooding occurs along the lower portions of Bradley, San Ardo, San Lucas, King City, Greenfield and Soledad. Most primary and secondary roads are flooded making travel in the Salinas Valley very difficult. Widespread flooding occurs at the San Ardo oil fields. Water and sewage treatment plants along the upper Salinas River are in danger of flooding.
20.0 Feet	Moderate flooding occurs along the lower portions of Bradley, San Ardo, San Lucas, King City, Greenfield and Soledad. Many of the secondary roads and some of the primary roads along the Salinas River will flood. Major damage to farm land along the upper Salinas River is expected.
18.0 Feet	Minor flooding begins at the San Ardo oil fields. Significant flooding occurs along the lowest portions of towns from Bradley to Soledad. Erosion will cause minor damage to agricultural land. Some secondary roads from Bradley to Soledad will flood.
16.0 Feet	Minor flooding of agricultural land is expected. The lower portions of the San Ardo oil fields is close to flooding.
14.0 Feet	Minor lowland flooding is expected.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ516)

Rest of Today: Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds around 5 mph increasing to 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Mostly clear in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in the evening.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph and becoming 5 to 10 mph after midnight.

Thursday: Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 40 mph in the afternoon.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s.

Friday: Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s.

Friday Night through Monday: Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 40s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s.

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