CNRFC - Ensemble Products

Short-Range Products (hourly timestep)

Long-Range Products (daily timestep)

Back to Ensemble Products Map

Location:

<<< Previous Ensemble Location (SNRC1) | Next Ensemble Location (KCYC1) >>>

SALINAS RIVER - BRADLEY (BRDC1)

Latitude: 35.93º N	Longitude: 120.87º W	Elevation: 443 Feet
Location: Monterey County in California		Bulletin Group: Central Coast		River Group: Salinas/Pajaro

Issuance Time:

Jun 30, 2025 at 9:52 AM PDT

Action/Monitor: 12.0 Feet

Minor Flood: 14.0 Feet

Moderate Flood: 20.0 Feet

Major Flood: 22.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | BRDC1

Select Threshold to Use: Threshold Value: Threshold Label:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
23.0 Feet	Disastrous flooding occurs across wide expanses of agricultural land in the Salinas Valley. At least 90,000 acres of farm land is in danger of flooding. Salinas Valley travel is impossible. Some residences along the lower portions of Bradley, San Ardo, San Lucas, King City, Greenfield and Soledad are in danger of flooding.
22.0 Feet	Major flooding occurs along the lower portions of Bradley, San Ardo, San Lucas, King City, Greenfield and Soledad. Most primary and secondary roads are flooded making travel in the Salinas Valley very difficult. Widespread flooding occurs at the San Ardo oil fields. Water and sewage treatment plants along the upper Salinas River are in danger of flooding.
20.0 Feet	Moderate flooding occurs along the lower portions of Bradley, San Ardo, San Lucas, King City, Greenfield and Soledad. Many of the secondary roads and some of the primary roads along the Salinas River will flood. Major damage to farm land along the upper Salinas River is expected.
18.0 Feet	Minor flooding begins at the San Ardo oil fields. Significant flooding occurs along the lowest portions of towns from Bradley to Soledad. Erosion will cause minor damage to agricultural land. Some secondary roads from Bradley to Soledad will flood.
16.0 Feet	Minor flooding of agricultural land is expected. The lower portions of the San Ardo oil fields is close to flooding.
14.0 Feet	Minor lowland flooding is expected.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ516)

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph in the evening and becoming light.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. Highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s. Light winds and becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.

Thursday: Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. Highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s. Light winds and becoming west 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s.

Independence Day: Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to lower 90s.

Friday Night: Clear. Lows around 50.

Saturday: Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. Highs in the 80s to lower 90s.

Saturday Night: Clear. Lows in the lower 50s.

Sunday through Monday: Mostly clear. Highs in the 80s to lower 90s. Lows in the lower 50s.

NWS RSS Feed