CNRFC - Ensemble Products

Short-Range Products (hourly timestep)

Long-Range Products (daily timestep)

Location:

SACRAMENTO RIVER - BUTTE CITY (BTCC1)

Latitude: 39.46º N	Longitude: 121.99º W	Elevation: 99 Feet
Location: Glenn County in California		Bulletin Group: Upper Sacramento		River Group: Upper Sacramento

Issuance Time:

Feb 18, 2026 at 2:25 PM PST

Action/Monitor: 88.5 Feet

Minor Flood: 97.0 Feet

Moderate Flood: 99.5 Feet

Major Flood: 100.5 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | BTCC1

Select Threshold to Use: Threshold Value: Threshold Label:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
100.5 Feet	Stages above 100.5 feet result in major flooding. Top of levee.
97.0 Feet	Water begins to flow into the orchards on the west bank of the river. Water is still contained inside the levees.
96.5 Feet	Water begins to flow into the orchards on the west bank of the river. Water is still contained inside the levees.
89.9 Feet	Overbank flow of the east bank begins upstream of the gage. Water flows into Butte Basin.