CNRFC - Ensemble Products

*** IMPORTANT *** Week of June 16 - Website Data Outage - Due to a major computer upgrade the week of June 16, nearly all data on the CNRFC web site will not be updated. We anticipate the down time to be approximately 4 days. The latest deterministic hydrologic forecasts for official forecast points will continue to be available at the National Water Prediction Service during this time.

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CALERO CREEK - CALERO RESERVOIR (CADC1)

Latitude: 37.18º N	Longitude: 121.79º W	Elevation: 490 Feet
Location: Santa Clara County in California		Bulletin Group: Central Coast		River Group: South Bay

Issuance Time:

Jun 16, 2025 at 6:53 AM PDT

Action/Monitor: N/A

Minor Flood: N/A

Moderate Flood: N/A

Major Flood: N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | CADC1

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		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
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What information is considered in this forecast?

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Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ512)

Today: Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows in the 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

Tuesday Night: Clear in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. Patchy fog after midnight. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.

juneteenth through Friday Night: Mostly clear. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.

Saturday through Sunday: Clear. Highs in the 60s to 70s. Lows near 50.

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