CNRFC - Ensemble Products

*** IMPORTANT *** Week of June 16 - Website Data Outage - Due to a major computer upgrade the week of June 16, nearly all data on the CNRFC web site will not be updated. We anticipate the down time to be approximately 4 days. The latest deterministic hydrologic forecasts for official forecast points will continue to be available at the National Water Prediction Service during this time.

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SCOTT RIVER - FORT JONES (FTJC1)

Latitude: 41.64º N	Longitude: 123.01º W	Elevation: 2624 Feet
Location: Siskiyou County in California		Bulletin Group: North Coast		River Group: Klamath

Issuance Time:

Jun 16, 2025 at 6:39 AM PDT

Action/Monitor: 12.0 Feet

Minor Flood: 15.0 Feet

Moderate Flood: 20.0 Feet

Major Flood: 25.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | FTJC1

Select Threshold to Use: Threshold Value: Threshold Label:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
25.0 Feet	Expect major flooding of the Scott Valley at this stage.
15.0 Feet	Expect some flooding of structures at this point.
13.0 Feet	Some flooding of pasture land begins at this point.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ080)

Today: Partly cloudy This Morning then clearing. Highs in the lower 70s to lower 80s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

Tonight: Clear. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northeast well after midnight.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s to lower 80s. Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the west in the late morning and afternoon.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the north well after midnight.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s to mid 80s. North winds around 5 mph shifting to the northwest late in the afternoon.

Wednesday Night and juneteenth: Clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 70s to mid 80s.

Thursday Night and Friday: Mostly clear. Not as warm. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s to mid 70s.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers in the evening, then mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers after midnight. Lows in the lower to mid 40s.

Saturday: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain and snow showers in the morning, then slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 50s to mid 60s.

Saturday Night and Sunday: Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s to lower 70s.

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