CNRFC - Ensemble Products

Short-Range Products (hourly timestep)

Long-Range Products (daily timestep)

Back to Ensemble Products Map

Location:

<<< Previous Ensemble Location (DOSC1) | Next Ensemble Location (LEGC1) >>>

EEL RIVER - FORT SEWARD (FTSC1)

Latitude: 40.22º N	Longitude: 123.63º W	Elevation: 217 Feet
Location: Humboldt County in California		Bulletin Group: North Coast		River Group: North Coast

Issuance Time:

Jun 30, 2025 at 9:06 AM PDT

Action/Monitor: 55.0 Feet

Minor Flood: 70.0 Feet

Moderate Flood: 80.0 Feet

Major Flood: 90.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | FTSC1

Select Threshold to Use: Threshold Value: Threshold Label:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
83.0 Feet	Considerable flooding of low lying areas north of the railroad tracks in Alderpoint and Fort Seward, and around the Dobbyns creek confluence. This forecast exceeds record river levels.
80.0 Feet	Flooding is probable in low lying areas north of the railroad tracks in alderpoint and fort seward, and around the dobbyns creek confluence.
78.0 Feet	Minor flooding is possible in low lying areas north of the railroad tracks in Alderpoint and Fort Seward, and around the Dobbyns Creek confluence.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ106)

Today: Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy in the late morning and early afternoon then becoming mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs 77 to 92.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. Lows 51 to 61.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs 75 to 90.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows 47 to 57.

Thursday: Mostly sunny. Highs 69 to 84.

Thursday Night and Independence Day: Partly cloudy. Lows 43 to 53. Highs 69 to 84.

Friday Night through Sunday: Mostly clear. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 73 to 88.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows 47 to 57.

Monday: Sunny. Highs 76 to 91.

NWS RSS Feed