CNRFC - Ensemble Products

Short-Range Products (hourly timestep)

Long-Range Products (daily timestep)

Location:

EEL RIVER - FORT SEWARD (FTSC1)

Latitude: 40.22º N	Longitude: 123.63º W	Elevation: 217 Feet
Location: Humboldt County in California		Bulletin Group: North Coast		River Group: North Coast

Issuance Time:

Mar 14, 2026 at 9:29 AM PDT

Action/Monitor: 55.0 Feet

Minor Flood: 70.0 Feet

Moderate Flood: 80.0 Feet

Major Flood: 90.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | FTSC1

Select Threshold to Use: Threshold Value: Threshold Label:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
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Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
83.0 Feet	Considerable flooding of low lying areas north of the railroad tracks in Alderpoint and Fort Seward, and around the Dobbyns creek confluence. This forecast exceeds record river levels.
80.0 Feet	Flooding is probable in low lying areas north of the railroad tracks in alderpoint and fort seward, and around the dobbyns creek confluence.
78.0 Feet	Minor flooding is possible in low lying areas north of the railroad tracks in Alderpoint and Fort Seward, and around the Dobbyns Creek confluence.