CNRFC - Ensemble Products

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SISQUOC RIVER - GAREY (GARC1)

Latitude: 34.89º N	Longitude: 120.31º W	Elevation: 355 Feet
Location: Santa Barbara County in California		Bulletin Group: Southern California		River Group: Southern California

Issuance Time:

Jun 22, 2025 at 9:07 AM PDT

Action/Monitor: 11.0 Feet

Minor Flood: 16.0 Feet

Moderate Flood: 20.0 Feet

Major Flood: 30.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | GARC1

Select Threshold to Use: Threshold Value: Threshold Label:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
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Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
16.0 Feet	Flow can overtop levee at any point and cause flooding.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ347)

Today: Low clouds and fog in the morning then sunny. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds around 15 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Low clouds and fog developing. Lows around 50. Northwest winds around 15 mph in the evening.

Tuesday: Low clouds and fog mostly clearing in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s.

Tuesday Night: Low clouds and fog developing. Lows around 50. Northwest winds around 15 mph in the evening.

Wednesday: Low clouds and fog mostly clearing in the afternoon. Highs in the 60s to around 70 except the mid 70s to around 80 farthest inland.

Wednesday Night: Low clouds and fog developing. Lows around 50.

Thursday: Low clouds and fog in the morning then sunny. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s except around 80 farthest inland.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear early then low clouds and fog. Lows in the lower 50s.

Friday: Low clouds and fog in the morning then sunny. Highs in the upper 60s and 70s.

Friday Night: Mostly clear early then low clouds and fog. Lows in the lower 50s.

Saturday: Low clouds and fog in the morning then sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to mid 70s except the mid 70s to around 80 farthest inland.

Saturday Night: Mostly clear in the evening then areas of low clouds and fog. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.

Sunday: Low clouds and fog in the morning then sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to mid 70s except the mid 70s to around 80 farthest inland.

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