CNRFC - Ensemble Products

*** IMPORTANT *** Week of June 16 - Website Data Outage - Due to a major computer upgrade the week of June 16, nearly all data on the CNRFC web site will not be updated. We anticipate the down time to be approximately 4 days. The latest deterministic hydrologic forecasts for official forecast points will continue to be available at the National Water Prediction Service during this time.

Short-Range Products (hourly timestep)

Long-Range Products (daily timestep)

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Location:

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BEAR CREEK - HOLSTEN CHIMNEY CANYON (HCHC1)

Latitude: 38.96º N	Longitude: 122.34º W	Elevation: 920 Feet
Location: Colusa County in California		Bulletin Group: Lower Sacramento		River Group: Cache Putah

Issuance Time:

Jun 04, 2025 at 8:30 AM PDT

Action/Monitor: N/A

Minor Flood: N/A

Moderate Flood: N/A

Major Flood: N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | HCHC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
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Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ063)

Tonight: Clear. Lows 54 to 66 higher elevations and 63 to 69 lower elevations. Prevailing northwest winds up to 10 mph.

Thursday: Sunny. Highs 70 to 85 higher elevations and 87 to 93 lower elevations. Prevailing north winds up to 10 mph shifting to the southeast in the afternoon.

Thursday Night: Clear. Lows 54 to 66 higher elevations and 63 to 69 lower elevations. Prevailing south winds up to 10 mph in the evening becoming light.

Friday: Sunny, warmer. Highs 74 to 89 higher elevations and 92 to 98 lower elevations. Light winds becoming east up to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Friday Night: Clear. Lows 57 to 69 higher elevations and 66 to 72 lower elevations. Prevailing southwest winds up to 10 mph shifting to the west after midnight.

Saturday: Sunny, warmer. Highs 81 to 96.

Saturday Night: Clear. Lows 59 to 73.

Sunday: Sunny. Highs 81 to 96.

Sunday Night through Monday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 59 to 74. Highs 81 to 96.

Tuesday through Wednesday: Clear. Highs 79 to 94. Lows 57 to 72.

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