CNRFC - Ensemble Products

Short-Range Products (hourly timestep)

Long-Range Products (daily timestep)

Back to Ensemble Products Map

Location:

<<< Previous Ensemble Location (LAMC1) | Next Ensemble Location (CDLC1) >>>

RUSSIAN RIVER - HOPLAND (HOPC1)

Latitude: 39.03º N	Longitude: 123.13º W	Elevation: 498 Feet
Location: Mendocino County in California		Bulletin Group: Russian Napa		River Group: Russian Napa

Issuance Time:

Apr 24, 2024 at 8:35 AM PDT

Monitor Stage: N/A

Flood Stage: 15.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble File Download (Data in feet): HOPC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Impacts - E19 Information
15.0 Feet	Flooding of Highway 175 is expected at the approaches to the Russian River bridge. Expect minor flooding of crop land on the right bank of the river.
17.0 Feet	Significant flooding of Highway 175 at the approaches to the Russian River bridge. Minor flooding of Highway 222 near Ukiah, and in crop land along the left and right banks of the Russian River near Hopland.
18.0 Feet	Flooding of Highway 222 near Ukiah. Secondary roads in low-lying areas will be flooded in the Hopland, Ukiah, and Talmage areas.
20.0 Feet	Flooding of low-lying structures east of the railroad tracks near Hopland.
21.0 Feet	Flooding of low-lying structures just west of the railroad tracks near Hopland.
23.0 Feet	Flooding of farm land, buildings and low-lying homes in the Hopland area. Flooding will begin in the Ukiah and Talmage areas.
24.0 Feet	Flooding of low-lying structures and farm land in the Hopland, Ukiah, and Talmage areas. Many secondary roads may also be flooded. Severe bank erosion is possible.
25.0 Feet	Severe bank erosion is likely with widespread flooding of farm land, buildings and low-lying homes in the Hopland, Ukiah, and Talmage areas. Many secondary roads will be flooded. This level of flooding caused 6100 acres to flood in February 1940.
26.0 Feet	Widespread major flooding will occur. Primary roads and some bridges will flood.
27.0 Feet	Widespread major flooding. At the forecast level, over 500 homes and farm buildings were damaged on December 22,1955. 6300 acres of land were inundated by flood waters. All persons in the area are urged to move to high ground and take appropriate action to protect life and property.
28.0 Feet	Disastrous flooding will occur. Many homes and businesses could be damaged. Many primary and secondary roads and some bridges could be washed out.
30.0 Feet	Disastrous flooding. Many homes and businesses damaged. Numerous primary and secondary roads and some bridges could be washed out. This is equal to the highest known stage, which occurred in December 1937. 6500 acres were inundated by flood waters.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ113)

Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Lows 39 to 49.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy. Highs 53 to 65.

Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows 43 to 53.

Friday: Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers. Highs 52 to 64.

Friday Night: Mostly clear. Breezy. Lows 36 to 46. Northwest wind 20 to 25 mph.

Saturday: Mostly sunny. Highs 56 to 70.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows 39 to 49.

Sunday through Monday Night: Mostly clear. Highs 58 to 72. Lows 38 to 48.

Tuesday through Wednesday: Partly cloudy. Highs 56 to 71. Lows 38 to 48.

NWS RSS Feed