National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service



BEAR CREEK - MCKEE ROAD (MEEC1)
Latitude: 37.31º NLongitude: 120.44º WElevation: 187 Feet
Location: Merced County in CaliforniaBulletin Group: San JoaquinRiver Group: San Joaquin
Issuance Time: Jul 14, 2025 at 8:56 AM PDT
Action/Monitor: 17.0 FeetMinor Flood: 23.0 FeetModerate Flood: 24.6 FeetMajor Flood: 25.6 Feet
Please Note:Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.
Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot   Product Info.   CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | MEEC1
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Location Photographs

ESRI™ Locator Map
Flood Impacts
27.2 FeetOn 1/10/23, the 26.18 foot Flood of Record took water up to the top of the levee system at the north end of Morse Drive and Thurman Court. This levee system has since been raised to 27.2 feet.
26.18 FeetWater impacts the bottom of the M Street and G Street Bridges. Water escapes its banks at E South Bear Creek Drive between Glen Avenue and Cameron Lane.Flood of Record - 1/10/2023
24.65 Feet2nd highest crest from 4/4/2006.
24.0 FeetAt 24 feet, the water flows towards the low point of Cooper Drive, businesses begin to flood.
23.0 FeetThe beechwood subdivision and the trailer park along the southern end of Bear Creek Drive floods in addition to Applegate Park on the south side of Bear Creek Drive.
17.0 FeetStorm drains begin to back up. Street flooding occurs primarily north of Bear Creek Drive and east of M Street.
16.0 FeetSouth bike path along Bear Creek floods downstream of the G Street bridge.
Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast   (CAZ302)
Tonight: Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.

Wednesday Night: Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

Thursday through Sunday: Clear. Highs in the mid 90s. Lows in the lower 60s.

Sunday Night and Monday: Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 90s.