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MARK WEST CREEK - MIRABEL HEIGHTS (MWEC1)

Latitude: 38.49º N	Longitude: 122.85º W	Elevation: 50 Feet
Location: Sonoma County in California		Bulletin Group: Russian Napa		River Group: Russian Napa

Issuance Time:

May 13, 2024 at 8:57 AM PDT

Monitor Stage: 50.5 Feet

Flood Stage: 55.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble File Download (Data in feet): MWEC1

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		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
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Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ506)

Rest of Tonight: Partly cloudy late in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. Patchy fog after midnight. Lows in the 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

Wednesday Night: Clear in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.

Thursday Night through Sunday: Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.

Monday: Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s.

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