CNRFC - Ensemble Products

*** IMPORTANT *** Week of June 22 - Website Data Outage - Most data flow has been restored to the CNRFC web site. A few products may remain outdated while we continue to restore systems following a major computer upgrade. Thank you for your patience.

Short-Range Products (hourly timestep)

Long-Range Products (daily timestep)

Back to Ensemble Products Map

Location:

<<< Previous Ensemble Location (SLUC1) | Next Ensemble Location (VRVC1) >>>

SANTA YNEZ RIVER - NARROWS (NRWC1)

Latitude: 34.64º N	Longitude: 120.42º W	Elevation: 85 Feet
Location: Santa Barbara County in California		Bulletin Group: Southern California		River Group: Southern California

Issuance Time:

Jun 22, 2025 at 9:07 AM PDT

Action/Monitor: 11.0 Feet

Minor Flood: 15.0 Feet

Moderate Flood: 23.0 Feet

Major Flood: 28.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | NRWC1

Select Threshold to Use: Threshold Value: Threshold Label:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
24.0 Feet	Moderate flooding along river threatens farms and the city of lompoc.
15.0 Feet	Flooding is a threat to lower lompoc, especially around Floradale Ave.
13.0 Feet	Flooding threatens agricultural land and outlying grounds of federal prison.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ347)

Today: Low clouds and fog in the morning then sunny. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds around 15 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Low clouds and fog developing. Lows around 50. Northwest winds around 15 mph in the evening.

Tuesday: Low clouds and fog mostly clearing in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s.

Tuesday Night: Low clouds and fog developing. Lows around 50. Northwest winds around 15 mph in the evening.

Wednesday: Low clouds and fog mostly clearing in the afternoon. Highs in the 60s to around 70 except the mid 70s to around 80 farthest inland.

Wednesday Night: Low clouds and fog developing. Lows around 50.

Thursday: Low clouds and fog in the morning then sunny. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s except around 80 farthest inland.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear early then low clouds and fog. Lows in the lower 50s.

Friday: Low clouds and fog in the morning then sunny. Highs in the upper 60s and 70s.

Friday Night: Mostly clear early then low clouds and fog. Lows in the lower 50s.

Saturday: Low clouds and fog in the morning then sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to mid 70s except the mid 70s to around 80 farthest inland.

Saturday Night: Mostly clear in the evening then areas of low clouds and fog. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.

Sunday: Low clouds and fog in the morning then sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to mid 70s except the mid 70s to around 80 farthest inland.

NWS RSS Feed