CNRFC - Ensemble Products

Short-Range Products (hourly timestep)

Long-Range Products (daily timestep)

Location:

NAVARRO RIVER - NAVARRO (NVRC1)

Latitude: 39.17º N	Longitude: 123.67º W	Elevation: 20 Feet
Location: Mendocino County in California		Bulletin Group: Russian Napa		River Group: Russian Napa

Issuance Time:

May 15, 2026 at 8:35 AM PDT

Action/Monitor: N/A

Minor Flood: 23.0 Feet

Moderate Flood: 30.0 Feet

Major Flood: 34.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | NVRC1

Select Threshold to Use: Threshold Value: Threshold Label:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
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Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
34.0 Feet	Significant flooding over the south bank approximately 1 mile east of Highway 1 will occur. Damage to property including 6 homes is possible. Expect closure of Highway 128. Motorists should use alternate routes.
30.0 Feet	Water will flow over the south bank of the river approximately 1 mile east of Highway 1, and begins to flood property in this area including six homes. Expect closure of Highway 128. Motorists should use alternate routes.
23.0 Feet	Flooding of Highway 128 approximately 5 miles east of Highway 1 is certain and the road will be closed. Motorists should use alternate routes.