CNRFC - Ensemble Products

*** IMPORTANT *** Week of June 16 - Website Data Outage - Due to a major computer upgrade the week of June 16, nearly all data on the CNRFC web site will not be updated. We anticipate the down time to be approximately 4 days. The latest deterministic hydrologic forecasts for official forecast points will continue to be available at the National Water Prediction Service during this time.

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HUMBOLDT RIVER - PALISADE (PALN2)

Latitude: 40.61º N	Longitude: 116.20º W	Elevation: 4826 Feet
Location: Eureka County in Nevada		Bulletin Group: Humboldt		River Group: Humboldt

Issuance Time:

Jun 16, 2025 at 6:45 AM PDT

Action/Monitor: 6.0 Feet

Minor Flood: 7.0 Feet

Moderate Flood: 8.0 Feet

Major Flood: 9.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | PALN2

Select Threshold to Use: Threshold Value: Threshold Label:

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		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
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Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
17.0 Feet	All time record flooding occurs with widespread catastrophic damage. This is similar to the largest known flood of february 1910. Catastrophic damage to all public infrastructure and private property along the river in the reach. The river becomes a large lake 4 to 5 miles wide from Beowawe to Battle Mountain. Transportation is nearly impossible. Communications out to many areas. This is about 17000 cfs. Any levels higher than this become new record floods.
12.0 Feet	Catastrophic flooding occurs. This is about 10000 cfs.
10.5 Feet	Disastrous flooding occurs with extensive damage through reach. This is about 8300 cfs.
10.0 Feet	Major flooding occurs with extensive damage to railroads, roads, bridges, buildings, irrigation structures and ranchland. Heavy livestock losses occur. Total loss will probably exceed 10 million dollars in the reach. Many roads are closed or destroyed. This is about 7600 cfs.
9.5 Feet	Major lowland flooding occurs with damage to roads, railroads, and buildings along the river from Carlin to Battle Mountain. Lower portions of Carlin and Beowawe flood. Significant losses occur to livestock, irrigation structures, and pasture. This is about 6900 cfs.
9.0 Feet	Significant to major lowland flooding occurs with moderate damage from Carlin to Battle Mountain. Moderate damage occurs to low-lying structures, rural roads and bridges. Ranch buildings and livestock affected. Erosion degrades pastures. This is about 6200 cfs.
8.5 Feet	Significant lowland flooding occurs with minor damage from Carlin to Battle Mountain. Some damage occurs to low lying structures. A few rural roads flood. This is about 5500 cfs.
8.0 Feet	Moderate lowland flooding occurs from Carlin to Battle Mountain. This is about 4900 cfs.
7.5 Feet	Minor to moderate lowland flooding occurs from Carlin to Battle Mountain. This is about 4300 cfs.
7.0 Feet	Minor lowland flooding begins between Carlin and Battle Mountains. This is about 3650 cfs.
6.0 Feet	This is monitoring stage. No flooding occurs. This is about 2600 cfs.
5.2 Feet	This is below monitoring stage. No flooding occurs. This is about 1800 cfs. NOTE: 1 cfs (cubic feet per second) is approximately 7.48 gallons of flow per second.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (NVZ036)

Today: Mostly sunny. Highs 80 to 88. Southwest winds up to 10 mph increasing to west 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds 10 to 15 mph decreasing to up to 10 mph after midnight.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs 79 to 87. West winds up to 10 mph.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph shifting to the northeast after midnight.

Wednesday: Warmer, sunny. Highs 87 to 95. Southeast winds up to 5 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.

Wednesday Night: Clear. Lows in the upper 50s.

juneteenth: Sunny. Highs 89 to 97.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s.

Friday: Breezy, sunny. Highs 83 to 91.

Friday Night: Clear. Patchy blowing dust in the evening. Lows in the lower 50s.

Saturday: Breezy. Not as warm. Sunny. Highs 69 to 77.

Saturday Night: Colder. Mostly clear. Lows around 40.

Sunday: Sunny. Highs 65 to 73.

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