CNRFC - Ensemble Products

*** IMPORTANT *** Week of June 16 - Website Data Outage - Due to a major computer upgrade the week of June 16, nearly all data on the CNRFC web site will not be updated. We anticipate the down time to be approximately 4 days. The latest deterministic hydrologic forecasts for official forecast points will continue to be available at the National Water Prediction Service during this time.

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Location:

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SOUTH FORK PIT RIVER - LIKELY (PLYC1)

Latitude: 41.23º N	Longitude: 120.44º W	Elevation: 4508 Feet
Location: Modoc County in California		Bulletin Group: Upper Sacramento		River Group: Upper Sacramento

Issuance Time:

Jun 15, 2025 at 8:08 AM PDT

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Flow data on this product are unregulated / full natural flow.

2025 Water Year Accumulated Volume Plot

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | PLYC1

Tabular Monthly Volume Accumulation (1000s of Acre-Feet)
Probability	Nov 1 2024	Dec 1 2024	Jan 1 2025	Feb 1 2025	Mar 1 2025	Apr 1 2025	May 1 2025	Jun 1 2025	Jul 1 2025	Aug 1 2025	Sep 1 2025	Oct 1 2025
10%	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	48.1	55.5	61.5	66.1
25%	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	48.1	55.5	61.5	66.1
50% (Median)	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	48.1	55.5	61.5	66.1
75%	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	48.1	55.5	61.5	66.1
90%	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	48.1	55.5	61.5	66.1

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ085)

Today: Partly cloudy This Morning then becoming mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. West winds around 5 mph shifting to the north late This Morning, then shifting to the southwest early This Afternoon increasing to 10 to 15 mph late This Afternoon.

Tonight: Partly cloudy in the evening then clearing. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

Monday: Partly cloudy. A 10 percent chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 70s to lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

Monday Night: Mostly clear. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening. Lows in the mid 40s. West winds 10 to 20 mph shifting to the northwest 5 to 10 mph after midnight.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s to mid 80s. North winds around 5 mph shifting to the east late in the morning, then shifting to the west in the afternoon.

Tuesday Night through juneteenth: Clear. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s to lower 90s.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 40s.

Friday: Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to mid 70s.

Friday Night and Saturday: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s. Highs in the mid 60s to mid 70s.

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