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MERCED RIVER - YOSEMITE AT POHONO BRIDGE (POHC1)

Latitude: 37.72º N	Longitude: 119.67º W	Elevation: 3862 Feet
Location: Mariposa County in California		Bulletin Group: San Joaquin		River Group: San Joaquin

Issuance Time:

Nov 17, 2025 at 2:07 PM PST

Action/Monitor: N/A

Minor Flood: 10.0 Feet

Moderate Flood: 12.5 Feet

Major Flood: 20.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | POHC1

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		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
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Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
23.45 Feet	Flood of record...1/3/97. $178 million damage to Yosemite Valley.
13.6 Feet	Lift stations at Housekeeping Camp and Yosemite Creek flooded. Southside Drive at Chapel Meadow impassable.
12.5 Feet	Northside Drive at Wosky Pond, El Capitan crossover, and Sentinel crossover are impassable to vehicles.
12.0 Feet	Water on road at Northside Drive, Southside Drive, El Capitan crossover, Sentinel crossover, and Highway 140 near Cookie Cliff.
11.4 Feet	Water begins to overtop road curbs on Northside Drive. Swinging Bridge overtops.
10.0 Feet	Merced River at Pohono Bridge begins to rise out of its banks. Flood Stage.
9.5 Feet	Lower Pines and Housekeeping Camp begin flooding.
7.0 Feet	RIVER IS CLOSED TO RAFTERS AND FLOATATION DEVICES.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ324)

Today: Partly sunny. Slight chance of rain and snow in the morning, then slight chance of rain in the afternoon. Highs 41 to 51. West winds up to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain and snow. Lows 28 to 36. East winds up to 5 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny in the morning then becoming partly sunny. Highs 41 to 51. East winds up to 5 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy in the evening, then mostly cloudy with chance of snow after midnight. Lows 29 to 37. East winds up to 5 mph. Chance of snow 50 percent.

Thursday: Chance of rain and snow in the morning, then rain and snow likely in the afternoon. Light snow accumulations. Highs 38 to 48. South winds up to 5 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.

Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain and snow. Lows 28 to 36.

Friday and Friday Night: Partly cloudy. Highs 43 to 53. Lows 31 to 39.

Saturday and Saturday Night: Partly cloudy. Highs 48 to 58. Lows 33 to 41.

Sunday and Sunday Night: Mostly clear. Highs 50 to 60. Lows 35 to 43.

Monday: Mostly sunny. Highs 51 to 61.

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