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SALINAS RIVER - PASO ROBLES (PRBC1)

Latitude: 35.63º N	Longitude: 120.69º W	Elevation: 700 Feet
Location: San Luis Obispo County in California		Bulletin Group: Central Coast		River Group: Salinas/Pajaro

Issuance Time:

Apr 19, 2024 at 8:25 AM PDT

Monitor Stage: 23.0 Feet

Flood Stage: 29.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble File Download (Data in feet): PRBC1

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		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
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Impacts - E19 Information
29.0 Feet	Threat to levees and roads, especially traffic way, homes, and agricultural land and property in Atascadero. Bank erosion threatens nearby homes, businesses and agricultural areas south of Highway 41 bridge.
32.0 Feet	Moderate to major flooding in and around Atascadero; backs up Atascadero Creek into River Gardens neighborhood and floods Highway 41. Minor to moderate flooding in and around Paso Robles. Floods wastewater treatment plant, downtown Paso Robles (upstream and downstream of gage), Larry Moore Park and nearby riverbank housing tract. Major bank erosion possible; threatens multiple utility lines (including high pressure gas) along North River Road, homes, businesses, bridges, and roads along entire reach.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ343)

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s.

Saturday: Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds around 15 mph in the afternoon.

Saturday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest winds around 15 mph shifting to the northeast after midnight.

Sunday: Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear. Lows around 50.

Monday: Areas of low clouds and fog in the morning then sunny. Highs in the upper 60s and 70s.

Monday Night: Mostly clear in the evening then low clouds and fog. Lows in the mid 40s.

Tuesday: Low clouds and fog in the morning then partly cloudy. Highs in the lower to mid 60s.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy in the evening then low clouds and fog. Lows in the mid 40s.

Wednesday: Low clouds and fog in the morning then partly cloudy. Highs in the lower to mid 60s.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear in the evening then low clouds and fog. Lows in the mid 40s.

Thursday: Low clouds and fog in the morning then partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain in the afternoon. Highs in the 60s.

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the mid 40s.

Friday: Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid to upper 60s.

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