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CARMEL RIVER - ROBLES DEL RIO (RDRC1)

Latitude: 36.47º N	Longitude: 121.73º W	Elevation: 269 Feet
Location: Monterey County in California		Bulletin Group: Central Coast		River Group: Salinas/Pajaro

Issuance Time:

May 09, 2025 at 9:19 AM PDT

Action/Monitor: 7.5 Feet

Minor Flood: 8.5 Feet

Moderate Flood: 11.0 Feet

Major Flood: 13.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | RDRC1

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		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
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Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
14.0 Feet	Disastrous flooding along the entire Carmel River. Approaches to all bridges along the entire Carmel River will be impassable. Many homes and businesses along the entire Carmel River experiencing severe flood damage with transportation difficult.
13.0 Feet	Major flooding can be expected along the entire Carmel River. Some levees along the lower Carmel River in danger of breaching. Many homes, businesses, and roads along the entire Carmel River will become inundated. Portions of Mission Fields and Rio Roads will be flooded.
12.9 Feet	Flood of Record: 03/10/1995
12.0 Feet	Widespread flood damage to low lying homes along the entire Carmel River. Levees protecting homes near Mission Fields are in danger of breaching. Homes near the Carmel Lagoon area begin to have substantial flooding.
11.0 Feet	Hacienda Carmel residential development levee is threatened. Moderate flooding of golf courses and low lying homes along the entire Carmel River. Homes in the Carmel Lagoon area begin to experience moderate flooding.
10.0 Feet	South side of Highway 1 bridge access becomes inundated and impassable. Many low lying homes threatened along the entire Carmel River. Low lying homes near Camp Steffani experience substantial flooding and homes near Schulte Road in danger of flooding. Homes surrounding the Carmel Lagoon area are in danger of flooding.
8.5 Feet	Low lying homes from Camp Steffani to below Robles del Rio will begin to flood. Old Odello Ranch near Carmel begins to flood. Homes along Paso Hondo and Dampierre Park subject to flooding.
7.5 Feet	Monitor Stage. Water levels are roughly 1 foot below primary breakout locations near Camp Steffani, Paso Hondo, and Dampierre Park.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ528)

rest of Today: Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

Saturday: Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

Saturday Night: Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

Sunday: Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Northwest winds around 5 mph increasing to west 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.

Monday: Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain. Highs in the lower 60s.

Monday Night and Tuesday: Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s.

Tuesday Night through Thursday: Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s.

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