CNRFC - Ensemble Products

*** IMPORTANT *** Week of June 16 - Website Data Outage - Due to a major computer upgrade the week of June 16, nearly all data on the CNRFC web site will not be updated. We anticipate the down time to be approximately 4 days. The latest deterministic hydrologic forecasts for official forecast points will continue to be available at the National Water Prediction Service during this time.

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SANTA CLARA RIVER - PIRU (SCPC1)

Latitude: 34.40º N	Longitude: 118.74º W	Elevation: 710 Feet
Location: Ventura County in California		Bulletin Group: Southern California		River Group: Southern California

Issuance Time:

Jun 16, 2025 at 6:55 AM PDT

Action/Monitor: 12.8 Feet

Minor Flood: 13.1 Feet

Moderate Flood: 14.0 Feet

Major Flood: 14.2 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | SCPC1

Select Threshold to Use: Threshold Value: Threshold Label:

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		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
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Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
14.0 Feet	Combined with flow from piru creek may cuase flooding south of fillmore upstream of the highway 23 bridge.
13.6 Feet	Damage possible to Torrey Road bridge.
13.4 Feet	Torrey Road bridge approaches my become damaged.
12.8 Feet	Torrey Road bridge approaches become flooded.
12.6 Feet	Potential for bank erosion along the channel including an area that was an historic landfill.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ358)

Today: Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s and 80s except 94 to 100 farthest inland. Southwest winds around 15 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s to mid 60s.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs in the 80s except 94 to 100 farthest inland. Southwest winds around 15 mph in the afternoon.

Tuesday Night: Clear in the evening then low clouds and fog. Lows around 60.

Wednesday: Sunny after morning low clouds and fog. Highs in the mid 70s to mid 80s except the lower to mid 90s farthest inland.

Wednesday Night: Clear in the evening then low clouds and fog. Lows in the mid 50s to around 60.

juneteenth: Sunny after morning low clouds and fog. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s except around 90 farthest inland.

Thursday Night: Clear in the evening then low clouds and fog. Lows in the mid 50s to around 60.

Friday: Sunny after morning low clouds and fog. Highs in the 70s to around 80 except the mid 80s to around 90 farthest inland.

Friday Night: Clear in the evening then low clouds and fog. Lows in the mid 50s.

Saturday: Sunny after morning low clouds and fog. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s.

Saturday Night: Clear in the evening then areas of low clouds and fog. Lows in the lower to mid 50s.

Sunday: Sunny after morning low clouds and fog. Highs in the 80s.

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