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SAN LUIS REY RIVER - OCEANSIDE (SLOC1)

Latitude: 33.22º N	Longitude: 117.36º W	Elevation: 20 Feet
Location: San Diego County in California		Bulletin Group: Southern California		River Group: San Diego/Inland

Issuance Time:

Jul 02, 2025 at 9:45 AM PDT

Action/Monitor: N/A

Minor Flood: 21.0 Feet

Moderate Flood: 24.5 Feet

Major Flood: 28.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | SLOC1

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		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
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Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
28.0 Feet	Excess overflow of water has damaged some sewer and water mains in the city of oceanside. The lilac road bridge on the pala indian reservation has likely washed out. The rincon casino has been evacuated. Approaches to upstream crossings are likely damaged or washed out. North river road has likely been undermined in oceanside. The retainaing wall protecting homes in the rancho viejo project upstream from oceanside is likely compromised. Pala casino is at risk with possible evacuations.
24.5 Feet	Extent of damage unknown. It is possible that the approaches to several of the upstream crossings will be damaged or washed out. The lilac road bridge on the pala indian reservation is likely impassable. Undermining of north river road in oceanside is possible. Undermining of the retaining wall protecting homes in the rancho viejo project is possible. Businesses in the flood plain not protected by the levee are at risk of innundation, including the pala casino parking areas and the rincon casino itself.
21.0 Feet	Approaches to upstream bridges including camino del rey, shearer crossing, and couser canyon, among others, are threatened and possibly damaged. The lilac road bridge on the pala reservation is at risk.
12.0 Feet	LOW-WATER CROSSINGS CAN BE IMPACTED WELL UPSTREAM OF THE GAGE BEFORE SIGNIFICANT GAGE RESPONSE OCCURS. GAGE HEIGHTS OF 9.5 TO 12 FT HAVE BEEN ASSOCIATED WITH THE CLOSING OF COLE GRADE ROAD AND LILAC ROADS.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ043)

Tonight: Partly cloudy This Evening and becoming cloudy. Lows 55 to 61. Areas of winds southwest to 10 mph This Evening becoming light.

Thursday: Cloudy in the morning and becoming partly cloudy. Highs 68 to 73 near the coast to 73 to 76 inland. Light winds becoming southwest 10 mph in the afternoon.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear in the evening and becoming mostly cloudy. Lows 56 to 61. Light winds.

Independence Day: Mostly cloudy in the morning and becoming mostly sunny. Highs 71 to 75 near the coast to 80 inland. Light winds becoming west 10 mph in the afternoon.

Friday Night: Mostly clear in the evening and becoming mostly cloudy. Lows 57 to 63. Light winds.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy in the morning and becoming mostly sunny. Highs 73 to 76 near the coast to 79 to 82 inland.

Saturday Night: Mostly clear in the evening and becoming mostly cloudy. Lows 57 to 63.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy in the morning and becoming mostly sunny. Highs 72 to 76 near the coast to 79 to 82 inland.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear in the evening and becoming mostly cloudy. Lows 59 to 63.

Monday: Mostly cloudy in the morning and becoming mostly sunny. Highs 73 to 77 near the coast to 81 inland.

Monday Night: Mostly clear in the evening and becoming cloudy. Lows 60 to 65.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy in the morning and becoming mostly sunny. Highs 74 to 78 near the coast to 81 to 84 inland.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy in the evening and becoming cloudy. Lows 62 to 66.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy in the morning and becoming partly cloudy. Highs 75 to 79 near the coast to 82 to 85 inland.

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