CNRFC - Ensemble Products

*** IMPORTANT *** Week of June 16 - Website Data Outage - Due to a major computer upgrade the week of June 16, nearly all data on the CNRFC web site will not be updated. We anticipate the down time to be approximately 4 days. The latest deterministic hydrologic forecasts for official forecast points will continue to be available at the National Water Prediction Service during this time.

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DEER CREEK - SCOTTS FLAT RESERVOIR (SOVC1)

Latitude: 39.27º N	Longitude: 120.93º W	Elevation: 3075 Feet
Location: Nevada County in California		Bulletin Group: Lower Sacramento		River Group: Feather Yuba

Issuance Time:

Jun 16, 2025 at 6:24 AM PDT

Action/Monitor: N/A

Minor Flood: N/A

Moderate Flood: N/A

Major Flood: N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | SOVC1

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		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
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What information is considered in this forecast?

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Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ069)

Today: Sunny. Highs 62 to 77 higher elevations and 74 to 84 lower elevations. Prevailing south winds up to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.

Tonight: Clear, colder. Lows 40 to 55 higher elevations and 51 to 63 lower elevations. Prevailing southwest winds up to 10 mph with gusts to around 30 mph shifting to the east after midnight.

Tuesday: Sunny, warmer. Highs 66 to 81 higher elevations and 77 to 87 lower elevations. Light winds becoming west up to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows 46 to 61 higher elevations and 55 to 67 lower elevations. Prevailing west winds up to 10 mph shifting to the northeast after midnight.

Wednesday: Sunny, warmer. Highs 71 to 86 higher elevations and 82 to 92 lower elevations. Light winds becoming west up to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Wednesday Night: Clear. Lows 50 to 65.

juneteenth: Sunny. Highs 71 to 86.

Thursday Night and Friday: Clear. Lows 45 to 60. Highs 68 to 83.

Friday Night through Sunday: Clear. Lows 37 to 52. Highs 60 to 75.

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