CNRFC - Ensemble Products

Short-Range Products (hourly timestep)

Long-Range Products (daily timestep)

Location:

SACRAMENTO RIVER - TISDALE WEIR (TISC1)

Latitude: 39.03º N	Longitude: 121.82º W	Elevation: 45 Feet
Location: Sutter County in California		Bulletin Group: Upper Sacramento		River Group: Upper Sacramento

Issuance Time:

Feb 02, 2026 at 2:18 PM PST

Action/Monitor: 44.1 Feet

Minor Flood: 51.6 Feet

Moderate Flood: 54.6 Feet

Major Flood: 55.6 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | TISC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
55.6 Feet	Stages above 55.6 feet results in flooding outside the levees. Top of levee.
44.1 Feet	Tisdale Weir crest elevation. Overflow begins into the Tisdale Bypass. This water eventually ends up in the Sutter Bypass.