CNRFC - Ensemble Products

*** IMPORTANT *** Week of June 16 - Website Data Outage - Due to a major computer upgrade the week of June 16, nearly all data on the CNRFC web site will not be updated. We anticipate the down time to be approximately 4 days. The latest deterministic hydrologic forecasts for official forecast points will continue to be available at the National Water Prediction Service during this time.

Short-Range Products (hourly timestep)

Long-Range Products (daily timestep)

Back to Ensemble Products Map

Location:

<<< Previous Ensemble Location (SESC1) | Next Ensemble Location (CLLC1) >>>

SANTA CLARA RIVER - VICTORIA AVENUE (VCAC1)

Latitude: 34.24º N	Longitude: 119.22º W	Elevation: 25 Feet
Location: Ventura County in California		Bulletin Group: Southern California		River Group: Southern California

Issuance Time:

Jun 16, 2025 at 6:55 AM PDT

Action/Monitor: 49.5 Feet

Minor Flood: 52.6 Feet

Moderate Flood: 54.0 Feet

Major Flood: 55.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | VCAC1

Select Threshold to Use: Threshold Value: Threshold Label:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
55.0 Feet	Major flood stage. Harbor boulevard bridge will be overtopped by flood waters. The montalvo waste water treatment plant will be flooded. The river ridge area, olivas park golf course, ventura harbor area, and the ventura wastewater treatment plant will be flooded.
54.0 Feet	Moderate flood stage. The Wagon Wheel area will begin to be flooded. Mcgrath state beach campground will be flooded.
52.6 Feet	Minor flood stage. Ventura Road under the railroad bridge will begin to flood as well as the Wagon Wheel area.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ354)

Today: Sunny. Highs in the 70s. West winds around 15 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. West winds around 15 mph shifting to the northwest after midnight.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs from the lower 70s at the beaches to the lower 80s inland.

Tuesday Night: Clear early then low clouds and fog. Lows near 60.

Wednesday: Sunny after morning low clouds and fog. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s.

Wednesday Night: Clear early then low clouds and fog. Lows near 60.

juneteenth: Low clouds and fog. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s.

Thursday Night: Low clouds and fog. Lows in the upper 50s.

Friday: Low clouds and fog. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s.

Friday Night: Low clouds and fog. Lows in the mid to upper 50s.

Saturday: Low clouds and fog. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s.

Saturday Night: Low clouds and fog. Lows in the mid 50s.

Sunday: Low clouds and fog. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s.

NWS RSS Feed