National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service



SAN JOAQUIN RIVER - VERNALIS (VNSC1)
Latitude: 37.68º NLongitude: 121.27º WElevation: 35 Feet
Location: San Joaquin County in CaliforniaBulletin Group: San JoaquinRiver Group: San Joaquin
Issuance Time: Jul 08, 2025 at 9:57 AM PDT
Action/Monitor: 24.5 FeetMinor Flood: 29.0 FeetModerate Flood: 32.0 FeetMajor Flood: 37.3 Feet
Please Note:Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.
Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot   Product Info.   CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | VNSC1

Hourly Peak River Level ProbabilitiesSAN JOAQUIN RIVER - VERNALIS (VNSC1)Created: 07/08/2025 at 9:57 AM PDT

Combination chart with 50 data series.
The chart has 1 X axis displaying Date/Time (Pacific). Range: 2025-07-08 03:48:00 to 2025-07-13 05:00:00.
The chart has 2 Y axes displaying River Level (Feet) and Flow (CFS).
End of interactive chart.
Cursor readout:

Chance of River LevelExceedance (Feet)

Empty chart
End of interactive chart.


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What information is considered in this forecast?
Verification / Historical Plots
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Location Photographs

ESRI™ Locator Map
Flood Impacts
37.29 FeetStages above 37.3 feet results in flooding outside the levees. Top of levee.
29.6 FeetHomes along east bank of river on Airport Court in Manteca experience flooding.
26.0 FeetSevere seepage occurs outside the levees. The area covered by seepage will increase as the river stage rises.
24.5 FeetMonitor Stage - water reaches the toe of levee.
21.0 FeetSeepage begins into crop area outside of levees.
Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast   (CAZ019)
Tonight: Clear. Lows 54 to 62. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs 88 to 94. Northwest winds up to 15 mph.

Wednesday Night: Clear. Lows 58 to 68. Northwest winds up to 15 mph.

Thursday: Sunny, warmer. Highs 95 to 103. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

Thursday Night: Clear. Lows 62 to 72. Northwest winds up to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph.

Friday: Sunny. Highs 96 to 104.

Friday Night: Clear. Lows 60 to 70.

Saturday through Tuesday: Clear. Highs 92 to 102. Lows 59 to 69.